A Forrester Total Economic ImpactTM Study Commissioned By Microsoft, October 2023
Microsoft Dynamics 365 Business Central allows small to medium-sized organizations to modernize ERP capabilities and scale in the cloud. This yields productivity improvements to finance and operations staff, better decision-making based on real-time information, and opportunities for more profitable operations — all while avoiding costs associated with on-premises infrastructure.
Microsoft Dynamics 365 Business Central is a cloud-based business management solution for small to medium-sized businesses. Microsoft commissioned Forrester Consulting to conduct a Total Economic Impact™ (TEI) study and examine the potential return on investment (ROI) enterprises may realize by deploying Dynamics 365 Business Central.1 The purpose of this study is to provide readers with a framework to evaluate the potential financial impact of Business Central on their organizations.
To better understand the benefits, costs, and risks associated with this investment, Forrester interviewed five representatives with experience using Business Central. For the purposes of this study, Forrester aggregated the interviewees’ experiences and combined the results into a single composite organization with revenue of $15 million per year and 150 employees.
Interviewees noted that prior to using Business Central, their organizations struggled to scale enterprise resource planning (ERP) capabilities with the ever-increasing demands of their business. The organizations’ ERP stacks often consisted of several disparate on-premises solutions with limited interoperability, which obscured information required for optimal decision-making and forced manual work in finance and supply-chain operations processes.
After the investment in Business Central, the interviewees described improvements to staff productivity, cost avoidance on third-party reporting and consulting fees, and greatly simplified and less costly ERP deployments in the cloud. Interviewees also detailed ways in which Business Central allowed their organizations to unlock additional revenue that was not possible with their legacy solutions.
Quantified benefits. Three-year, risk-adjusted present value (PV) quantified benefits for the composite organization include:
Unquantified benefits. Benefits that provide value for the composite organization but are not quantified for this study include:
Costs. Three-year, risk-adjusted PV costs for the composite organization include:
The representative interviews and financial analysis found that a composite organization experience benefits of $484,000 over three years versus costs of $178,000, adding up to a net present value (NPV) of $306,000 and an ROI of 172%.
Return on investment (ROI):
Benefits PV:
Net present value (NPV):
Payback:
From the information provided in the interviews, Forrester constructed a Total Economic Impact™ framework for those organizations considering an investment in Dynamics 365 Business Central.
The objective of the framework is to identify the cost, benefit, flexibility, and risk factors that affect the investment decision. Forrester took a multistep approach to evaluate the impact that Dynamics 365 Business Central can have on an organization.
Interviewed Microsoft stakeholders and Forrester analysts to gather data relative to Dynamics 365 Business Central.
Interviewed five representatives at organizations using Dynamics 365 Business Central to obtain data about costs, benefits, and risks.
Designed a composite organization based on characteristics of the interviewees’ organizations.
Constructed a financial model representative of the interviews using the TEI methodology and risk-adjusted the financial model based on issues and concerns of the interviewees.
Employed four fundamental elements of TEI in modeling the investment impact: benefits, costs, flexibility, and risks. Given the increasing sophistication of ROI analyses related to IT investments, Forrester’s TEI methodology provides a complete picture of the total economic impact of purchase decisions. Please see Appendix A for additional information on the TEI methodology.
Readers should be aware of the following:
This study is commissioned by Microsoft and delivered by Forrester Consulting. It is not meant to be used as a competitive analysis.
Forrester makes no assumptions as to the potential ROI that other organizations will receive. Forrester strongly advises that readers use their own estimates within the framework provided in the study to determine the appropriateness of an investment in Dynamics 365 Business Central.
Microsoft reviewed and provided feedback to Forrester, but Forrester maintains editorial control over the study and its findings and does not accept changes to the study that contradict Forrester’s findings or obscure the meaning of the study.
Microsoft provided the customer names for the interviews but did not participate in the interviews.
Consulting Team:
Richard Cavallaro
Zahra Azzaoui
| Role | Industry | Region | Revenue (USD) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manager of data integration | Biotech | EMEA | ~$7M |
| Founder | Financial services | EMEA | ~$5M |
| Manager of finance and integrations | Healthcare | EMEA | ~$350M |
| CEO | IT services | EMEA | ~$3M |
| VP of commerce operations | Technology manufacturing | North America | ~$5M |
The interviewees noted how their organizations struggled with common challenges, including:
Lacking ERP capabilities and customizations to support the business. Interviewees told Forrester that adding additional ERP tools or capabilities to reduce manual work or improve finance or operations processes was not always feasible for their organizations. Cost barriers, infeasibility due to IT complexity, and/or a lack of technical resources to deploy and maintain the solution meant that capabilities that would add business value were not available. The VP of commerce operations at a technology manufacturing organization explained: “We would often just not do something because even though it would add value, it was much too difficult to complete the work within the environment of ERP tools that we already had. We were constantly making those trade-offs.”
Interviewees noted that customizations and integrations were also very difficult to manage within their legacy ERP environments without significant internal or third-party effort. The founder of a financial services firm explained the inflexibility of their organization’s previous ERP tools: “We’re primarily a bookkeeping firm, and we couldn’t work horizontally across our customers. That’s quite hard because we’d have to log in and log out [and] then log in and log out for each customer each time.”
The interviewees’ organizations searched for a solution that could:
Based on the interviews, Forrester constructed a TEI framework, a composite company, and an ROI analysis that illustrates the areas financially affected. The composite organization is representative of the five interviewees, and it is used to present the aggregate financial analysis in the next section. The composite organization has the following characteristics:
Description of composite. The composite organization is a $15 million organization with 150 employees. It primarily operates within the region of its headquarters, but it has customers and suppliers around the globe.
Prior to deploying Microsoft Dynamics 365 Business Central, the composite organization maintained a homegrown collection of on-premises ERP solutions that it implemented over the years for specific functionality. As a result, there was some redundancy in capabilities from one tool to the next that resulted in IT complexity and increased costs.
Deployment characteristics. In line with organizational cloud-transformation mandates, the composite organization deploys Business Central in the cloud supported by a Microsoft partner and internal staff. It also begins a phased retirement of its legacy ERP tools, and it retires 75% of these costs by the third year of the Business Central deployment. The organization has 15 staff members who are responsible for finance and supply-chain operations decisions, and they are the primary users of Business Central.
| Ref. | Benefit | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Total | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atr | Improvement to staff productivity | $46,778 | $46,778 | $46,778 | $140,333 | $116,329 |
| Btr | Reduction in required hires | $98,550 | $98,550 | $98,550 | $295,650 | $245,079 |
| Ctr | Avoided third-party fees | $28,800 | $28,800 | $28,800 | $86,400 | $71,621 |
| Dtr | Avoided costs of previous solutions and support | $14,008 | $20,758 | $27,508 | $62,273 | $50,556 |
| Total benefits (risk-adjusted) | $188,135 | $194,885 | $201,635 | $584,655 | $483,585 |
Evidence and data. Interviewees said deploying Business Central allowed their organizations’ finance and operations staff to reduce the amount of time they spent on manual reporting and information reconciliation while also providing improved visibility and tools to accelerate and improve the quality of decision-making. Automating tasks within these finance and operations processes yielded quantifiable productivity savings for the organizations’ staff.
Modeling and assumptions. For the composite organization, Forrester makes the following assumptions:
Risks. This benefit will vary among organizations based on:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 10%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $116,300.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1 | Finance users | Composite | 8 | 8 | 8 | |
| A2 | Time savings on manual reporting per month (hours) | Interviews | 15 | 15 | 15 | |
| A3 | Percentage of working week reclaimed (rounded) | A2/160 | 9% | 9% | 9% | |
| A4 | Hourly rate of a finance FTE (rounded) | TEI standard | $42 | $42 | $42 | |
| A5 | Annual time savings due to automated reporting with Business Central | A1*A2*A4*12 months | $60,480 | $60,480 | $60,480 | |
| A6 | Operations users | Composite | 7 | 7 | 7 | |
| A7 | Time savings on operations activities per month (hours) | Interviews | 30 | 30 | 30 | |
| A8 | Percentage of working week reclaimed (rounded) | A7/160 | 18% | 18% | 18% | |
| A9 | Hourly rate of an operations FTE (rounded) | TEI standard | $42 | $42 | $42 | |
| A10 | Annual time savings due to operations task automation with Business Central | A6*A7*A9*12 months | $8,820 | $8,820 | $8,820 | |
| A11 | Subtotal: Total value of time savings for finance and operations users | A5+A10 | $69,300 | $69,300 | $69,300 | |
| A12 | Productivity recapture | TEI standard | 75% | 75% | 75% | |
| At | Improvement to staff productivity | A11*A12 | $51,975 | $51,975 | $51,975 | |
| Risk adjustment | ↓10% | |||||
| Atr | Improvement to staff productivity (risk-adjusted) | $46,778 | $46,778 | $46,778 | ||
| Three-year total: $140,333 | Three-year present value: $116,329 | |||||
Evidence and data. Interviewees told Forrester that as their organizations continued to grow, the finance and operations responsibilities also grew, which necessitates additional hires. Furthermore, these hires require specialized preexisting expertise or significant training on the organizations’ legacy ERP tools.
Interviewees said Business Central enables finance and operations staff to operate more effectively in the present while offsetting subsequent hires required as the business grows.
Modeling and assumptions. For the financial model, Forrester makes the following assumptions:
Risks. This benefit will vary among organizations based on:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 10%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV of $245,100.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B1 | Total finance and operations users | Composite | 15 | 15 | 15 | |
| B2 | Required capacity increase to manage growth | Interviews | 10% | 10% | 10% | |
| B3 | Required FTE capacity growth avoidable with Business Central | B1*B2 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | |
| B4 | Annual rate of a finance or operations FTE | TEI standard | $73,000 | $73,000 | $73,000 | |
| Bt | Reduction in required hires | B3*B4 | $109,500 | $109,500 | $109,500 | |
| Risk adjustment | ↓10% | |||||
| Btr | Reduction in required hires (risk-adjusted) | $98,550 | $98,550 | $98,550 | ||
| Three-year total: $295,650 | Three-year present value: $245,079 | |||||
Evidence and data. While many interviewees spoke about personnel challenges related to their organizations’ legacy ERP environments such as manual labor and required reconciliation between solutions, some noted their organization also incurred external costs. The organizations often paid for external reporting on a monthly or quarterly basis because finance staff were working at capacity, and they also engaged third-party consulting services to work on customizations and integrations amid the complexity of their legacy ERP deployments.
Interviewees said that once Business Central was implemented, their firms eliminated third-party reporting costs while internal IT staff managed integration and customization work.
Modeling and assumptions. For the composite organization, Forrester makes the following assumptions:
Risks. This benefit will vary among organizations based on:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 10%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV of nearly $71,600.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C1 | Cost per customized report | Interviews | $5,000 | $5,000 | $5,000 | |
| C2 | Reports per year | Composite | 4 | 4 | 4 | |
| C3 | Subtotal: Avoided third-party reporting fees | C1*C2 | $20,000 | $20,000 | $20,000 | |
| C4 | Avoided consulting time per quarter for ongoing support, upgrades, and strategy (hours) | Interviews | 10 | 10 | 10 | |
| C5 | Annual avoided consulting time (hours) | C4*4 | 40 | 40 | 40 | |
| C6 | Cost per consulting hour | Assumption | $300 | $300 | $300 | |
| C7 | Subtotal: Avoided consulting costs | C5*C6 | $12,000 | $12,000 | $12,000 | |
| Ct | Avoided third-party fees | C3+C7 | $32,000 | $32,000 | $32,000 | |
| Risk adjustment | ↓10% | |||||
| Ctr | Avoided third-party fees (risk-adjusted) | $28,800 | $28,800 | $28,800 | ||
| Three-year total: $86,400 | Three-year present value: $71,621 | |||||
Evidence and data. Interviewees told Forrester their organizations paid excessive costs associated with maintaining their legacy ERP solutions. The organizations were paying several vendors for solutions that offered redundant functionality across the ERP stacks while incurring the costs typical to on-premises solutions including infrastructure, maintenance personnel costs, and upgrade fees. Interviewees said that by consolidating ERP functionality on Business Central, their organizations were able to shed some of these costs on deployment and most of the costs post-deployment.
Modeling and assumptions. For the composite organization, Forrester makes the following assumptions:
Risks. This benefit will vary among organizations based on:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 10%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV of over $50,600.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | Cost of legacy tool(s) | Interviews | $30,000 | $30,000 | $30,000 | |
| D2 | Percentage of total spend retired | Composite | 25% | 50% | 75% | |
| D3 | Subtotal: Total retired spend | D1*D2 | $7,500 | $15,000 | $22,500 | |
| D4 | IT personnel who supported and developed previous tool(s) | Composite | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
| D5 | Time per month per IT FTE spent on support and development (hours) | Interviews | 8 | 8 | 8 | |
| D6 | Hourly rate of an IT FTE (rounded) | TEI Standard | $42 | $42 | $42 | |
| D7 | Subtotal: Cost of support and development for previous tool(s) | D4*D5*D6*12 months | $8,064 | $8,064 | $8,064 | |
| Dt | Avoided costs of previous solutions and support | D3+D7 | $15,564 | $23,064 | $30,564 | |
| Risk adjustment | ↓10% | |||||
| Dtr | Avoided costs of previous solutions and support (risk-adjusted) | $14,008 | $20,758 | $27,508 | ||
| Three-year total: $62,273 | Three-year present value: $50,556 | |||||
Interviewees mentioned the following additional benefits that their organizations experienced but were not quantified for this report:
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Revenue | Composite | $15,000,000 | $15,000,000 | $15,000,000 | |
| R2 | Percent of revenue generated through new sales channels unlocked with Business Central | Interviews | 10.00% | 15.00% | 20.00% | |
| R3 | Operating margin | Assumption | 8% | 8% | 8% | |
| Rt | Net profit from Business Central-enabled revenue | R1*R2*R3 | $120,000 | $180,000 | $240,000 | |
| Risk adjustment | ↓20% | |||||
| Rtr | Net profit from Business Central-enabled revenue (risk-adjusted) | $96,000 | $144,000 | $192,000 | ||
| Three-year total: $432,000 | Three-year present value: $350,533 | |||||
The value of flexibility is unique to each customer. There are multiple scenarios in which a customer might implement Dynamics 365 Business Central and later realize additional uses and business opportunities, including:
Flexibility would also be quantified when evaluated as part of a specific project (described in more detail in Appendix A).
| Ref. | Cost | Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Total | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etr | Subscription fees paid to Microsoft | $0 | $20,700 | $20,700 | $20,700 | $62,100 | $51,478 |
| Ftr | Implementation, ongoing management, and training personnel costs | $75,038 | $20,700 | $20,700 | $20,700 | $137,138 | $126,515 |
| Total costs (risk-adjusted) | $75,038 | $41,400 | $41,400 | $41,400 | $199,238 | $177,993 |
Evidence and data. Interviewees said their organizations pay Microsoft a subscription fee for their usage of Business Central. Their firms pay license fees on a per-month, per-user, or per-device basis.
Modeling and assumptions. For the composite organization, Forrester makes the following assumptions:
Risks. This cost will vary among organizations based on:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this cost upward by 15%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $51,500.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E1 | Total subscribed users | Composite | 15 | 15 | 15 | ||
| E2 | Monthly price per user | Interviews | $100 | $100 | $100 | ||
| Et | Subscription fees paid to Microsoft | E1*E2*12 months | $0 | $18,000 | $18,000 | $18,000 | |
| Risk adjustment | ↑15% | ||||||
| Etr | Subscription fees paid to Microsoft (risk-adjusted) | $0 | $20,700 | $20,700 | $20,700 | ||
| Three-year total: $62,100 | Three-year present value: $51,478 | ||||||
Evidence and data. The interviewees described migration experiences for Business Central that averaged four months from concept to implementation, were often staged in phases, and typically leveraged Microsoft partners. While the level of partner support varied, partner involvement in some capacity was consistent among the interviewed organizations.
Modeling and assumptions. For the composite organization, Forrester makes the following assumptions:
Risks. This cost will vary among organizations based on:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this cost upward by 15%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV of $126,500.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F1 | Personnel required for implementation | Composite | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| F2 | Implementation and initial ramping duration (months) | Composite | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| F3 | Personnel time spent on implementation | Composite | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| F4 | Average yearly rate of personnel | TEI standard | $90,000 | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| F5 | Total personnel cost for implementation | F1*F2*F3*F4 | $15,000 | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| F6 | Total partner cost for implementation | Composite | $45,000 | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| F7 | Personnel required for ongoing management | Composite | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| F8 | Time on task for ongoing management: | Composite | 0% | 20% | 20% | 20% | |
| F9 | Total personnel cost for ongoing management | F4*F7*F8 | $0 | $18,000 | $18,000 | $18,000 | |
| F10 | Total users who require training | Composite | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| F11 | Training time per user per year (hours) | Composite | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| F12 | Hourly rate of a user who requires training (rounded) | Composite | $35 | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| F13 | Total personnel cost for training | F10*F11*F12 | 5,250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ft | Implementation, ongoing management, and training personnel costs | F5+F6+F9+713 | $65,250 | $18,000 | $18,000 | $18,000 | |
| Risk adjustment | ↑15% | ||||||
| Ftr | Implementation, ongoing management, and training personnel costs (risk-adjusted) | $75,038 | $20,700 | $20,700 | $20,700 | ||
| Three-year total: $137,138 | Three-year present value: $126,515 | ||||||
The financial results calculated in the Benefits and Costs sections can be used to determine the ROI, NPV, and payback period for the composite organization’s investment. Forrester assumes a yearly discount rate of 10% for this analysis.
These risk-adjusted ROI, NPV, and payback period values are determined by applying risk-adjustment factors to the unadjusted results in each Benefit and Cost section.
| Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Total | Present Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total costs | ($75,038) | ($41,400) | ($41,400) | ($41,400) | ($199,238) | ($177,993) |
| Total benefits | $0 | $188,135 | $194,885 | $201,635 | $584,655 | $483,585 |
| Net benefits | ($75,038) | $146,735 | $153,485 | $160,235 | $385,418 | $305,592 |
| ROI | 172% | |||||
| Payback period (months) | 7.0 |
Total Economic Impact is a methodology developed by Forrester Research that enhances a company’s technology decision-making processes and assists vendors in communicating the value proposition of their products and services to clients. The TEI methodology helps companies demonstrate, justify, and realize the tangible value of IT initiatives to both senior management and other key business stakeholders.
Benefits represent the value delivered to the business by the product. The TEI methodology places equal weight on the measure of benefits and the measure of costs, allowing for a full examination of the effect of the technology on the entire organization.
Costs consider all expenses necessary to deliver the proposed value, or benefits, of the product. The cost category within TEI captures incremental costs over the existing environment for ongoing costs associated with the solution.
Flexibility represents the strategic value that can be obtained for some future additional investment building on top of the initial investment already made. Having the ability to capture that benefit has a PV that can be estimated.
Risks measure the uncertainty of benefit and cost estimates given: 1) the likelihood that estimates will meet original projections and 2) the likelihood that estimates will be tracked over time. TEI risk factors are based on “triangular distribution.”
The initial investment column contains costs incurred at “time 0” or at the beginning of Year 1 that are not discounted. All other cash flows are discounted using the discount rate at the end of the year. PV calculations are calculated for each total cost and benefit estimate. NPV calculations in the summary tables are the sum of the initial investment and the discounted cash flows in each year. Sums and present value calculations of the Total Benefits, Total Costs, and Cash Flow tables may not exactly add up, as some rounding may occur.
Appendix B: Endnotes
1 Total Economic Impact is a methodology developed by Forrester Research that enhances a company’s technology decision-making processes and assists vendors in communicating the value proposition of their products and services to clients. The TEI methodology helps companies demonstrate, justify, and realize the tangible value of IT initiatives to both senior management and other key business stakeholders.
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