July 2023
The partner opportunity to deliver services and solutions related to Microsoft security grew significantly in the past year for enterprise customers (14%) and SMB customers (37%). This growth was driven by greater customer demand because of the increased complexity and frequency of cyberattacks, Microsoft’s investments in its security-related offerings, and the maturation of partners’ offerings. Partners that invested in their internal capabilities and Microsoft relationships reported higher revenues and profitability.
The increased opportunity for security-related partners is being driven by several factors. First, the post-pandemic move to hybrid work for knowledge workers is still evolving, which requires new security paradigms. Second, there is an ever-increasing rise in the frequency and complexity of cyberthreats, and high-profile ransomware attacks are constantly in the news. Third, the meteoric rise of AI and the risk of deep-fake cyberattacks has companies looking for additional protections. Fourth, macroeconomic concerns are causing companies to look at where they can rationalize IT spending while still maintaining necessary security postures. Last and most specific to the Microsoft ecosystem, the increased adoption of Microsoft security solutions such as those in the Microsoft 365 E5 suite are increasing the related total addressable market (TAM).
Microsoft commissioned Forrester Consulting to conduct a Total Economic Impact™ (TEI) study to examine how partners can benefit from investing in and expanding their Microsoft security practices for both small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs) and enterprise customers.i “Microsoft security” is a broad term that encompasses all products and services across six product families: Microsoft Defender, Microsoft Sentinel, Microsoft Entra, Microsoft Intune, Microsoft Purview, and Microsoft Priva.
In this study, Forrester uses the term “security” as shorthand for one or more of the following solution areas built around the six product families:
This year’s study focuses on what has changed for security partners in FY23 and where things are likely heading in FY24. This includes: 1) what customers are looking for from Microsoft partners; 2) how partners are making money; and 3) the best practices and investments that create success.
For this year’s study, Forrester interviewed 14 partners with practices in one or more of the aforementioned solution areas. It also pulls in the partners’ security-related data from another TEI study focused on the partner opportunities around Windows 365 and Microsoft Modern Work ii,iii These interviews build on more than 50 previous years’ interviews with Microsoft partners and customers.
Forrester created partner-opportunity models for both enterprise and SMB customers based on what leading partners achieved in FY23 and what they expect to achieve in FY24. These models quantify the opportunities for deployment, advisory and adoption services, solutions development, and managed services. Accounting for attach rates, Forrester found that the expected-revenue opportunity for a new enterprise customer is up by 14% year-over-year (YoY), and that the SMB revenue opportunity is up by 37% YoY.iv
While partners have built highly profitable businesses around various engagement models, they noted they generally realize larger TAMs and higher margins as they move from deployment to providing managed services and building custom IPs. This can be conceptualized as a good-better-best scenario.
Consulting Team: Isabel Carey, Cassandra Halloran, Jonathan Lipsitz
The objective of this framework is to identify the revenue streams, investments, flexibility, and risk factors that affect the investment decision. Forrester took a multistep approach to evaluate the holistic opportunity for partners building and growing a Microsoft security practice.
Interviewed Microsoft stakeholders and Forrester analysts to gather data relative to the Microsoft security partner opportunity.
Interviewed 14 representatives of partner organizations with one or more existing Microsoft 365 Security, Multicloud Security, Compliance,Identity,or XDR practices to obtain data with respect to revenue opportunities, investments, and best practices.
Constructed a financial model representative of the interviews using the TEI methodology. The model normalizes all results as a per-user-per- month opportunity during a 36-month customer journey.
Created a case study that explains the benefits and investments a partner can expect when building one or more security practices. The case study also explores the best practices partners have identified,which have made them successful.
Readers should be aware of the following:
This study is commissioned by Microsoft and delivered by Forrester Consulting. It is not meant to be used as a competitive analysis.
Forrester makes no assumptions as to the potential ROI that other organizations will receive. Forrester strongly advises that readers use their own estimates within the framework provided in the study to determine the appropriateness of an investment in a Microsoft practice.
Microsoft reviewed and provided feedback to Forrester, but Forrester maintains editorial control over the study and its findings and does not accept changes to the study that contradict Forrester’s findings or obscure the meaning of the study.
Microsoft provided the partner names for the interviews but did not participate in the interviews.
Forrester Analytics Global Business Technographics® surveys include responses from thousands of technology purchasers and decision- makers from around the world. Survey insights highlight macro trends that drive organizations’ decisions concerning security and compliance solution adoption and partner selection. In the 2022 Forrester Analytics Global Business Technographics Priorities Survey, 27% of business and technology professionals said that their organization’s top IT priority is to improve security and privacy.v Nearly 36% of security decision-makers with decision- making power at the manager level or higher shared that their organization will spend IT budget on security (e.g., software, infrastructure, services, personnel, etc.).vi
Software-as-a-service (SaaS) adoption also continues to be a major driver of security services adoption. In a 2022 Forrester survey of 3,536 software decision-makers, 28% said data security and protection against cybercrime was their organization’s biggest concern with using SaaS solutions.vii Additionally, a 2022 Forrester Analytics Business Technographics Security Survey of 2,883 security decision-makers found that 13.98% of respondents said the largest portion of their organization’s security budget went to cloud securityviii
The survey also revealed why organizations are looking to outsource security services. Security decision-makers outlined the following top priorities: improving quality of protection (32%), alleviating resource/staffing pressures (31%), and improving regulatory compliance (30%).ix When it comes to selecting a security partner, the top criteria were expertise in new technologies (23%); knowledge/experience with the organization’s industry (22%); business process, technology,software platform expertise (22%); and credibility as proven by successful completion of past projects with the respondent’s organization (22%).
Security technology decision-makers also noted their organizations’ top security priorities for the following 12 months. Microsoft solutions and the related partner opportunities align with most of the top 10 priorities.
| Improving application security capabilities and services | 28% |
| Using built-in security capabilities from Microsoft, Google, AWS, etc. | 22% |
| Improving threat intelligence capabilities to proactively identify security threats targeted to my organization or industry | 22% |
| Improving Access Management tools and policies for employees and partners | 21% |
| Developing strategy for industrial control system (ICS) or operational technology (OT) environments | 20% |
| Improving device security and services to support anywhere work | 19% |
| Improving data security capabilities, such as identification and classification | 19% |
| Improving endpoint security capabilities and services | 18% |
| Improving security operations ef f ectiveness | 18% |
| Improving vulnerability risk management capabilities and process | 18% |
Base: 2,355 security technology decision-makers
Source: Forrester Analytics Business Technographics Security Survey, 2022
Lastly, the reasons security decision-makers said they purchased identity and access management technologies for their organizations during the previous 12 months represent a large opportunity for partners to deploy and manage solutions. The top four drivers were regulatory compliance (38%), cloud migration requiring new identity and access management (IdAM) solutions (32%), lack of skilled recourses to automate security tasks (27%), and reduced administrative and overhead costs (26%).x
Partners shared their views on the high-level trends that are driving opportunities and what they believe will be even more important during the next year. These include:
The trends discussed earlier resulted in increased revenues across all workloads in FY23, both in terms of total revenue potential (i.e., what partners are of fering) and the expected revenue associated with the likely bundles of services and products customers are buying (attach rates applied). The expected revenue opportunity grew by 14% for an enterprise customer on a three-year journey. The two solution areas with the largest expected revenue opportunities are Microsoft 365 Security and Identity, and the new XDR workload is already at 5%.
Forrester also broke down the expected revenue opportunity across four service areas: deployment, advisory, solutions development, and managed services.
Managed services grew by 15%. Partners expressed the most interest in managed services because of the desire for predictable and recurring revenues, potentially high margins when delivered at scale and how they increase company valuations.
Partners are using Microsoft Sentinel as a platform upon which to build and deliver managed services. Managed XDR has emerged as a large opportunity and a natural extension for partners that already have managed SOC offerings. Some partners are building managed- compliance offerings that parallel their managed- services offerings.
| Solution Area | Total revenue per user per month | Blended attach rate | Expected revenue per user per month | Expected YOY growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft 365 Security | $41.55 | 32% | $13.10 | 7% |
| Multicloud Security | $23.05 | 35% | $8.15 | 9% |
| Compliance | $19.20 | 30% | $5.80 | 20% |
| Identity | $21.05 | 58% | $12.25 | 6% |
| XDR | $11.25 | 16% | $1.75 | N/A |
| Total | $116.10 | 35% | $41.05 | 14% |
| Partner service | Total revenue per user per month | Blended attach rate | Expected revenue per user per month | Expected YOY growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deployment | $17.05 | 56% | $9.60 | 15% |
| Advisory | $6.15 | 49% | $3.00 | 18% |
| Solutions development | $40.40 | 31% | $12.40 | 9% |
| Managed services | $52.50 | 31% | $16.05 | 15% |
| Total | $116.10 | 35% | $41.05 | 14% |
Microsoft 365 Security is about activating and managing Microsoft 365 workloads securely. The opportunities for partners have increased proportionally with the additional capabilities that Microsoft has added to the E5 SKU and the increase in upgrades from E3 to E5.
Multicloud Security includes the services and solutions partners offer around Azure and other public clouds that run Microsoft solutions. More security partners reported expanding into this workload because of the increased adoption of public clouds. Additionally, they said the breadth of Azure and other public cloud solutions may create many more opportunities to secure networks, data, applications, VMs, etc.
Compliance saw the largest growth of all workloads in terms of both total and expected opportunity. Several factors contributed to the growth of workloads, including Microsoft’s continued investment in the Purview and Priva product families, customers increasingly looking at compliance as a follow-up to their security deployments, and more partners moving into compliance areas adjacent to security and creating new offerings. Specialized compliance partners continue to dominate areas that require deep expertise (e.g., legal discovery).
IdAM is both a distinct workload and a foundational component of the other workloads (Microsoft 365 Security, Multicloud Security, Compliance, and XDR). As such, partners increasingly think of it in terms of these other opportunities. The Zero Trust narrative is also important for partners and Microsoft in creating multiyear identity journeys that cover solutions such as MFA, SSO, and passwordless authentication. As part of these journeys, partners reported an increase in competitive takeaways in solution areas like SSO.
XDR is primarily a managed services opportunity, and Forrester added it as a separate solution area in this year’s analysis because more partners spoke about offerings and view XDR as a way to differentiate since they believe the managed SOC landscape has become saturated for enterprise customers. One driver of customer demand is the increasingly common cyberinsurance policy demand that companies must have an incident response provider.
For the most part, partners are leveraging Microsoft Sentinel f or their XDR capabilities, and they said that ingestion of signals from Azure and other clouds is especially important and that it requires a serious investment to build and deliver an XDR managed service offering. So, only a subset of MSSP partners of fer XDR. Some of these partners are white labeling their services for other Microsoft partners to sell, and this creates opportunities for these other partners to make money and deliver more value to their customers.
Managed services fees consist of the services contract and incident response retainer. Managed services fees vary widely based on the types and volume of telemetry being ingested. Ideally, partners bring in identity, device, data, and application telemetry from both on-premises and clouds. Partners stressed that a proper XDR offering needs to cover more than the Microsoft estate and that managing all these integrations is costly.
One partner said that through automation and putting strong, across-the-board protections in place for a customer, managed XDR margins can be 75% or higher because there is not much manual work that needs to be done. With regard to an incident-response retainer, partners view it as the way to pay for bench resources in order to meet SLAs, but not as a profit center of its own.
Most of the trends discussed in the enterprise opportunity section apply to SMB as well, so this section focuses on what is different from enterprise. In previous years, Forrester conducted the SMB security opportunity analysis as part of the Modern Work partner TEI study because the opportunity was almost exclusively around the Microsoft 365 Security and Microsoft identity workloads. The security-related SMB opportunity has grown significantly, with partners describing Multicloud Security and Compliance opportunities at the higher end of the SMB range (organizations with around 200 employees) for the first time. Therefore, the analysis has been expanded and included in this study.
Overall, the SMB opportunity grew by 29% across Microsoft 365 Security and Identity, and including the newly reported Multicloud Security and Compliance solution areas brings the growth rate up to 37%. The XDR workload is excluded from the SMB opportunity model because SMBs’ lesser requirements remain more of a managed SOC play.
| Solution area | Total revenue per user per month | Blended attach rate | Expected revenue per user per month | Expected YOY growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft 365 Security | $37.25 | 33% | $12.20 | 28% |
| Multicloud Security | $4.35 | 10% | $0.45 | N/A |
| Compliance | $2.65 | 19% | $0.50 | N/A |
| Identity | $4.40 | 40% | $1.75 | 30% |
| XDR | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Total | $48.65 | 31% | $14.90 | 37% |
| Partner service | Total revenue per user per month | Blended attach rate | Expected revenue per user per month | Expected YOY growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deployment | $8.95 | 49% | $4.40 | 69% |
| Adoption | $5.20 | 38% | $1.95 | 26% |
| Solutions development | $20.55 | 27% | $5.45 | 20% |
| Managed services | $13.95 | 22% | $3.10 | 44% |
| Total | $48.65 | 31% | $14.90 | 37% |
Organizations are increasingly moving to Microsoft 365 Business Premium or buying the security add- ons in order to simplify their IT estate and reduce costs. Up-front deployment work typically takes from several days to as much as one month, depending on the size of the organization and features being turned on. Overall win rates are 75%, with workshops driving a lot of the opportunity. Adoptions services for both IT and business users add on 50% to the deployment costs. Partners are also doing solutions development and some integration work as part of the managed SOC opportunity. Partners have a wide range of managed services offerings, including the outsourcing of IT security as part of full IT outsourcing and managed SOC offerings.
Multicloud Security has emerged as an opportunity at larger SMBs with 150 or more employees. In part, this is being driven by partners recommending their customers move their IT estates to Azure. Deployment work is the security piece of an Azure migration. There are no separate adoption costs because this is built into the deployment services. Similarly, there are no separate charges for solutions- development integration work, and management tools are priced into the managed services. Managed services make sure the proper security settings are maintained and acting on Azure security alerts.
The SMB compliance opportunity for nonspecialized partners is almost solely in data security. To date, this compliance opportunity exists mostly at organizations with 150 employees or more. Partners said a compliance deployment typically takes a week or two and costs no more than $10,000. Adoption services around defining compliance policies are an additional 25% on top of deployment costs. There are no solutions-development offerings in terms of custom integration work, and any partner IP is included in deployment and managed services. Partners are beginning to sell some compliance managed services in areas like DLP monitoring, but attach rates are still low at 10%
As with enterprise organizations, Identity is foundational to all of the security work that partners do for SMBs. Deployment work consists of turning on capabilities in Microsoft 365 Business Premium or the standalone security add-ons. Additionally, partners are moving their customers to Microsoft solutions such as SSO and MFA from other vendors. Adoption services consist of basic training that uses templated content and is worth an additional 20% on top of the deployment costs. Partners that have created their own identity security tools for enterprises are also selling them to SMBs, but at a higher per-user fee. Identity managed services is included in full IT and user-support outsourcing contracts.
Each year, Forrester asks representatives of partner organizations what new best practices and investments are fueling their success in terms of go- to-market and delivery. This year, much of the conversation was around increasing managed services capabilities, especially managed XDR. Specific examples of where partners are investing and developing best practices include:
FY23 saw a significant increase in partner opportunities for enterprise customers and the emergence of full-blown security and compliance opportunities in the SMB space. This growth was driven by greater customer demand because of the increasing number and complexity of cyberattacks and by the added opportunities afforded when a customer moves to the Microsoft 365 E5 and Business Premium SKUs.
Partners are continuing to expand beyond their comfort zones of Microsoft 365 Security into Multicloud Security and Compliance. The managed XDR opportunity really began to blossom this year, and partners that previously had managed SOC offerings have benefited greatly from expanding into this area. Partners also saw more and larger opportunities for competitive takeouts as their customers look to save money.
Partners expect their success to accelerate in FY24 because of the market trends discussed earlier, the increase in Microsoft license sales that result in follow-up work, and customers’ increasing desire for outsourcing IT and IT security. A partner needs to grow at 20% just to keep up with Microsoft’s license growth. Achieving this success requires partners to make the necessary investments in people, methodologies, and solutions to be successful, and this increasingly means achieving the new MCPP specializations.
| Solution area | Total revenue per user per month | Expected revenue per user per month | Expected YOY growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft 365 Security | $41.55 | $13.10 | 7% |
| Multicloud Security | $23.05 | $8.15 | 9% |
| Compliance | $19.20 | $5.80 | 20% |
| Identity | $21.05 | $2.25 | 6% |
| XDR | $11.25 | $1.75 | N/A |
| Total | $116.10 | $41.05 | 14% |
| Solution area | Total revenue per user per month | Expected revenue per user per month | Expected YOY growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft 365 Security | $37.25 | $12.20 | 28% |
| Multicloud Security | $4.35 | $0.45 | N/A |
| Compliance | $2.65 | $.50 | N/A |
| Identity | $4.40 | $1.75 | 30% |
| Total | $48.65 | $14.90 | 37% |
i Total Economic Impact is a methodology developed by Forrester Research that enhances a company’s technology decision-making processes and assists vendors in communicating the value proposition of their products and services to clients. The TEI methodology helps companies demonstrate, justify, and realize the tangible value of IT initiatives to both senior management and other key business stakeholders.
ii Source: “The Partner Opportunity for Windows 365,” a commissioned study conducted by Forrester Consulting on behalf of Microsoft, April 2023.
iii Source: “The Partner Opportunity For Microsoft Modern Work,” a commissioned study conducted by Forrester Consulting on behalf of Microsoft, July 2023.
iv An attach rate is the likelihood of a given service/solution being including in what a customer purchases. Attach rates are applied to workloads (e.g., Microsoft 365 Security, Multicloud Security, Compliance, Identity, and XDR) and to services (e.g., deployment, advisory, business solutions, and managed services). In other words, they’re applied to the typical mix of solutions and services a customer buys. This will vary based on how a partner has entered into security. For example, a compliance partner will attach a lot more compliance and an MSSP will attach a lot more Microsoft 365. Use this calculation: total opportunity X attach rate = = expected opportunity.
v Source: Forrester Analytics Global Business Technographics® Security Survey, 2021.
vi Ibid.
vii Source: Forrester’s Software 1 Survey, 2022.
viii Source: Forrester Analytics Global Business Technographics® Security Survey, 2021.
ix Ibid.
x Ibid
xi Source: “The Total Economic Impact™ Of Microsoft Security,” a commissioned study conducted by Forreser Consulting on behalf of Microsoft, February 2023.
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