New Technology: The Projected Total Economic Impact™ Of Microsoft 365 Copilot For SMB

Cost Savings And Business Benefits Enabled By Microsoft 365 Copilot

A Forrester New Technology Projected Total Economic Impact Study Commissioned By Microsoft, October 2024

Small- and medium-size businesses (SMBs) often have teams with departmental overlaps; the role of a single worker can encompass several areas in the organization. As the capabilities of artificial intelligence (AI) technology continue to advance, SMBs can leverage AI solutions to enhance productivity and streamline operations, resulting in increased revenue, improved net margins, and better organizational collaboration. Based on Forrester’s interviews and survey responses, early SMB adopters of Microsoft 365 Copilot are optimizing their use of Microsoft 365 applications and transforming organizational workflows to achieve higher business efficiency and happier employees.

Microsoft 365 Copilot is a generative AI assistant that helps employees optimize their use of all the solutions within Microsoft 365. It works inside Word, Excel, PowerPoint, Outlook, Teams, and other Microsoft 365 applications.

Microsoft commissioned Forrester Consulting to conduct a Total Economic Impact™ (TEI) study and examine the potential return on investment (ROI) enterprises may realize by deploying Microsoft 365 Copilot.1 The purpose of this study is to provide readers with a framework to evaluate the potential financial impact of Microsoft 365 Copilot on their organizations.

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Projected return on investment (PROI)

132% to 353%

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Projected net present value (PNPV)

$358,500 to $955,000

To better understand the benefits, costs, and risks associated with this investment, Forrester interviewed twelve representatives across seven small- and medium-size businesses with experience using Microsoft 365 Copilot. Forrester also surveyed 266 decision-makers from small- and medium-size businesses implementing generative AI solutions like Microsoft 365 Copilot at their organization. For the purposes of this study, Forrester aggregated the interviewees’ and survey respondents’ experiences and expectations and combined the results into a single composite organization that is a small to medium-size business with 200 employees and annual revenues of $35 million.

Interviewees said that prior to using Microsoft 365 Copilot, their teams wasted resources searching for information; missed meetings in which crucial information was exchanged or even inaccurately conveyed; and expended considerable effort drafting proposals, presentations, and other content to engage or follow up with clients. However, their prior attempts to use AI tools yielded limited success, exposed sensitive company data to breach risks, and resulted in outputs formed from irrelevant or outdated information. These limitations posed security concerns, restricted innovation, and hindered the full use of AI and the data available at the organizations.

After the investment in Microsoft 365 Copilot, the interviewees’ organizations and survey respondents experienced or anticipated improved employee satisfaction and easier content creation and collaboration. They reported faster time to market, both realized and anticipated, and increased customer satisfaction, with impacts on revenue. Key results from the investment for the composite include increased revenues, reduced operating costs, and an improved employee experience leading to better retention and faster onboarding.

The Microsoft 365 Copilot benefits for small- to medium-size businesses, both realized and anticipated, are shown in the figure below as part of three business transformation pillars: go to market, operations, and people and culture. In addition to the examples of quantified benefits, this New Tech TEI also discusses drivers contributing to the benefits and how the benefits are expected to expand and evolve over time.

PTEI MS365 Copilot SMB Pillar Graphic.svg

Key Findings

Quantified projected benefits. This study includes quantified benefits for each of the transformation pillars as well as a discussion of other benefits that could not yet be quantified. Three-year, risk-adjusted present value (PV) quantified benefits for the composite organization include the following:

  • Go-to-market transformation increases topline revenues by up to 6%. The composite organization increases revenues thanks to a faster time to market from process efficiencies, improved customer service and satisfaction that contributes to increased customer lifetime value, and the faster creation of sales proposals, which frees up the sales team to focus on selling. After applying a net margin of 10%, the projected increase in net income is worth between $97,000 and $446,000 over three years to the composite organization.
  • Operational transformation decreases total expenditures by up to 0.85%. With Microsoft 365 Copilot, the composite organization experiences increased worker productivity across various roles, including marketing, sales, finance, legal, human resources, and IT. Along with supply chain efficiencies, reduced spending on contractors, and savings from tools that are replaced with Microsoft 365 Copilot, this results in a projected reduction of total expenditures of $473,000 to $656,000 over three years for the composite organization. These cost savings increase the net margin from the baseline of 10% to as high as 10.77%.
  • People and organization transformation decreases the employee attrition rate by up to 20% and accelerates new-hire onboarding times by up to 25%. With Microsoft 365 Copilot, employees are relieved of a portion of mundane or repetitive tasks and have faster access to relevant information, which increases retention. Additionally, the faster creation of training materials and access to pertinent information accelerates the onboarding of new hires, who can thus contribute value to the organization sooner. Over three years, decreased employee attrition and accelerated new-hire onboarding is projected to be worth between $59,000 and $124,000 to the composite organization.

Unquantified benefits. Benefits that provide value for the composite organization but are not quantified for this study include:

  • Security and compliance consolidation and improvement. Interviewees described security and compliance with industry and government regulation as a driver for choosing Microsoft 365 Copilot over alternative AI solutions. Survey respondents said that they expect greater data security and their intellectual property to be better protected with Microsoft 365 Copilot.

Costs. Three-year, risk-adjusted PV costs for the composite organization include:

  • License costs. The composite organization has the requisite Microsoft 365 licenses and incurs a cost of $30 per user/per month for Microsoft 365 Copilot. The total licensing cost for the composite is $42,000 over three years.
  • Implementation and ongoing management. Three people — a business leader, an IT worker, and one test user — are involved in the implementation of and change management for Microsoft 365 Copilot; one full-time employee is then involved in ongoing management. Examples of these processes include handling the integration, setting permissions, building knowledge sources, and cleaning data. The total implementation and management cost for the composite over three years is $130,000.
  • Training and employee discovery. Interviewees acknowledged that they did not spend as much time and resources on training their teams as they felt were necessary to reap the full benefits of an AI solution. Training is a critical component of creating the most productivity from organizations’ generative AI investments.2 The composite organization allocates 10 hours of training to new users. Users spend 15 hours per year on discovery. The total cost over three years is $98,000.

Forrester modeled a range of projected low-, medium-, and high-impact outcomes based on evaluated risk. This financial analysis projects that the composite organization accrues the following three-year net present value (NPV) for each scenario by enabling Microsoft 365 Copilot:

  • Projected high impact of a $955,000 NPV and projected ROI of 353%.
  • Projected medium impact of a $658,000 NPV and projected ROI of 243%.
  • Projected low impact of a $358,000 NPV and projected ROI of 132%.

Percentage point improvement in net margin as a result of decreased expenses

0.5 point increase up to 0.77 point increase

“Upskilling on AI now is absolutely critical to being prepared for its capabilities in a few years. In five years, running a business without Copilot would be like trying to run a company today using typewriters instead of computers.”

Head vice president of technology services, IT services and business consulting

Key Statistics

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    Projected return on investment (PROI):

    132% to 353%
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    Projected benefits PV:

    $629,000 to $1,226,000
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    Projected net present value (PNPV):

    $358,000 to $955,000
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    Total costs PV:

    $271,000
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Three-Year Projected Financial Analysis For The Composite Organization

New Tech TEI Framework And Methodology

From the information provided in the interviews, Forrester constructed a New Technology: Projected Total Economic Impact™ (New Tech TEI) framework for those organizations considering an investment Microsoft 365 Copilot.

The objective of the framework is to identify the potential cost, benefit, flexibility, and risk factors that affect the investment decision. Forrester took a multistep approach to evaluate the projected impact that Microsoft 365 Copilot can have on an organization.

  1. Due Diligence

    Interviewed Microsoft stakeholders and Forrester analysts to gather data relative to Microsoft 365 Copilot.

  2. Early-Implementation Interviews And Survey

    Interviewed 12 representatives at seven organizations using Microsoft 365 Copilot in a pilot or beta stage to obtain data about projected costs, benefits, and risks; surveyed 266 respondents at organizations using or considering generative AI solutions.

  3. Composite Organization

    Designed a composite organization based on characteristics of the interviewees’ organizations and survey data.

  4. Projected Financial Model Framework

    Constructed a projected financial model representative of the interviews using the New Tech TEI methodology and risk-adjusted the financial model based on issues and concerns of the interviewees.

  5. Case Study

    Employed four fundamental elements of New Tech TEI in modeling the investment’s potential impact: benefits, costs, flexibility, and risks. Given the increasing sophistication of ROI analyses related to IT investments, Forrester’s TEI methodology provides a complete picture of the total economic impact of purchase decisions. Please see Appendix A for additional information on the TEI methodology.

Disclosures

Readers should be aware of the following:

This study is commissioned by Microsoft and delivered by Forrester Consulting. It is not meant to be used as a competitive analysis.

Forrester makes no assumptions as to the potential ROI that other organizations will receive. Forrester strongly advises that readers use their own estimates within the framework provided in the study to determine the appropriateness of an investment in Microsoft 365 Copilot.

Microsoft reviewed and provided feedback to Forrester, but Forrester maintains editorial control over the study and its findings and does not accept changes to the study that contradict Forrester’s findings or obscure the meaning of the study.

Microsoft provided the customer names for the interviews but did not participate in the interviews.

Consulting Team:

Nahida Nisa

Jonathan Lipsitz

M
K

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