A Forrester Total Economic Impact™ Study Commissioned By Epicor, August 2024
A modernized enterprise resource planning (ERP) solution is critical to running a successful manufacturing company. Manufacturers have a unique need: They need an ERP with the breadth to connect siloed business areas together, the depth of capabilities and customizability that they need to meet changing customer demands, and the ability to scale for expansion and growth. Epicor Kinetic is a cloud ERP solution optimized for manufacturers with composable modules for performance and scalability, as well as real-time business intelligence and AI, enabling manufacturers to extract incremental revenue growth, improve gross margins, and drive overall productivity.
As business executives modernize their legacy technology to meet today’s business needs of agility and innovation, they are replacing their traditional ERP systems with cloud architected software-as-a-service (SaaS) solutions. These new systems are more open, modular, cloud-architected, and ecosystem oriented compared with their predecessors. Increasingly, they support modern development techniques and provide AI capabilities. Forrester uses the term modern ERP to refer to this newer generation of ERP systems.1
However, general-purpose ERP tools are built horizontally to support a broad swath of industry verticals and can be challenging to implement for most organizations with annual revenue less than $5 billion (vs. mega enterprises that are pragmatically not limited by resources). ERP solutions optimized for manufacturing include features such as supply chain optimization; configure, price, and quote (CPQ) for complex and customized manufacturing; bill of materials (BOM) management; inventory management; and financial reporting to comply with global standards. With an overlay of AI capabilities optimized for manufacturing ERP platforms, organizations can accelerate their delivery of new products and product variants.2
In addition to technological advancements, market and customer expectations for more customized products, innovative delivery mechanisms, and add-on services create market demands for these manufacturers. Largely due to the COVID-19 pandemic, which was both an unexpected and drastic demand and supply shock, manufacturers have been compelled to transform operations and realign their global supply chains. Factories that produce varying volumes for a smaller set of customers and/or deal with a limited set of suppliers are uniquely challenged to handle more complex operations with on-time delivery.
Epicor Kinetic is a cloud ERP solution designed specifically for manufacturers. The system utilizes real-time business intelligence and tailored collaboration tools to streamline manufacturing processes for even the most complex products. Kinetic leverages the experience of Epicor in the world of diversified manufacturing organizations.
Epicor commissioned Forrester Consulting to conduct a Total Economic Impact™ (TEI) study and examine the potential return on investment (ROI) enterprises may realize by deploying Kinetic.3 The purpose of this study is to provide readers with a framework to evaluate the potential financial impact of Kinetic on their organizations.
To better understand the benefits, costs, and risks associated with this investment, Forrester interviewed five representatives from four organizations with experience using Kinetic. For the purposes of this study, Forrester aggregated the interviewees’ experiences and combined the results into a single composite organization that is a discrete diversified manufacturing organization with $150 million in annual revenue in Year 1 expanding through acquisition to $300 million in Year 2.
transitions 0 plants in Year 1, generates $0 in revenue per plant in Year 1, has 0 total employees per plant, and replaces 0 legacy ERP solutions over three years. Custom results are based on your inputs and the TEI case study.
Interviewees said that prior to using Kinetic, their organizations’ legacy ERP systems didn’t provide the resilience and scalability needed to continue growing. Their ability to collect data across all sites was limited, and their systems were not optimized or designed with manufacturing processes and systems in mind. These challenges hindered their organizations’ ability to compare performance, control pricing, drive improvements, and scale at the enterprise level. Ultimately, the legacy systems that were in place at the interviewees’ organizations, which included homegrown systems or less effective ERP platforms, were not meeting their needs and were hindering their ability to remain competitive in their respective industries.
After the investment in Kinetic, the interviewees noted their organizations immediately saw improvements in their end-to-end processes. Key results from the investment in Epicor Kinetic include increases in revenue, improved margins, and better productivity across their ERP support, IT, and operations teams. The interviewees’ organizations also experienced a smooth, fast implementation process with Kinetic, which provided faster time to revenue than they had with their legacy platforms.
Quantified benefits. Five-year, risk-adjusted present value (PV) quantified benefits for the composite organization include:
For , this benefit could be worth over five years.
For , this benefit could be worth over five years.
For , this benefit could be worth over five years.
For , this benefit could be worth over five years.
For , this benefit could be worth over five years.
Unquantified benefits. Benefits that provide value for the composite organization but are not quantified for this study include:
Costs. Five-year, risk-adjusted PV costs for the composite organization include:
For , this cost could be over five years.
For , this cost could be over five years.
For , this cost could be over five years.
For , this cost could be over five years.
The representative interviews and financial analysis found that a composite organization experiences benefits of $20.39 million over three years versus costs of $5.50 million, adding up to a net present value (NPV) of $14.88 million and an ROI of 270%.
could experience benefits of over three years versus costs of , adding up to an NPV of and an ROI of 0%.
Return on investment (ROI)
Benefits PV
Net present value (NPV)
Payback
From the information provided in the interviews, Forrester constructed a Total Economic Impact™ framework for those organizations considering an investment in Kinetic.
The objective of the framework is to identify the cost, benefit, flexibility, and risk factors that affect the investment decision. Forrester took a multistep approach to evaluate the impact that Kinetic can have on an organization.
Interviewed Epicor stakeholders and Forrester analysts to gather data relative to Kinetic.
Interviewed five representatives at organizations using Kinetic to obtain data about costs, benefits, and risks.
Designed a composite organization based on characteristics of the interviewees’ organizations.
Constructed a financial model representative of the interviews using the TEI methodology and risk-adjusted the financial model based on issues and concerns of the interviewees.
Employed four fundamental elements of TEI in modeling the investment impact: benefits, costs, flexibility, and risks. Given the increasing sophistication of ROI analyses related to IT investments, Forrester’s TEI methodology provides a complete picture of the total economic impact of purchase decisions. Please see Appendix A for additional information on the TEI methodology.
Readers should be aware of the following:
This study is commissioned by Epicor and delivered by Forrester Consulting. It is not meant to be used as a competitive analysis.
Forrester makes no assumptions as to the potential ROI that other organizations will receive. Forrester strongly advises that readers use their own estimates within the framework provided in the study to determine the appropriateness of an investment in Kinetic. For the interactive functionality using Configure Data/Custom Data, the intent is for the questions to solicit inputs specific to a prospect’s business. Forrester believes that this analysis is representative of what companies may achieve with Kinetic based on the inputs provided and any assumptions made. Forrester does not endorse Epicor or its offerings. Although great care has been taken to ensure the accuracy and completeness of this model, Epicor and Forrester Research are unable to accept any legal responsibility for any actions taken on the basis of the information contained herein. The interactive tool is provided ‘AS IS,’ and Forrester and Epicor make no warranties of any kind.
Epicor reviewed and provided feedback to Forrester, but Forrester maintains editorial control over the study and its findings and does not accept changes to the study that contradict Forrester’s findings or obscure the meaning of the study.
Epicor provided the customer names for the interviews but did not participate in the interviews.
Consulting Team:
Erach Desai
Leigh Greene
| Role | Industry | Region | Revenue | Employees | Kinetic Deployment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VP of IT | Measurement and test manufacturer | North American headquarters, global operations | >$800 million | >2,500 | 28 businesses globally, 10 using Kinetic |
| Director of ERP | Aviation components manufacturer | North American headquarters, US operations | >$250 million | >800 | 9 factories in NA, all 9 using Kinetic |
| Financial controller | Scientific instruments manufacturer | APAC headquarters, global operations | >$150 million | >850 | 6 factories globally, 4 using Kinetic |
| CFO Director of IT |
Packaging products manufacturer | US headquarters, North American operations | >$100 million | >500 | 9 factories in NA, 6 using Kinetic |
Forrester interviewed five decision-makers who oversee enterprise-level ERP deployment and usage at four organizations. All interviewees held senior roles in finance, ERP, or technology and were actively involved in broader efforts to standardize Epicor Kinetic over time.
Prior to deployment of Kinetic, interviewees’ organizations struggled to overcome barriers posed by traditional integration strategies and legacy systems. They could not readily connect fragmented business processes, unlock data usage, and extend automation with business partners across varied IT landscapes. Even in the case of niche, cloud-based ERP solutions that were built for smaller organizations, interviewees noted that these platforms were not optimized for manufacturing and lacked capacity and key features.
The interviewees noted how their organizations struggled with common challenges, including:
The interviewees’ organizations searched for a solution that could replace largely on-premises, legacy ERP tools with a modernized ERP platform optimized for the manufacturing industry that could scale with the growth and expansion of their businesses. Interviewees said they required a system that offered the following:
Based on the interviews, Forrester constructed a TEI framework, a composite company, and an ROI analysis that illustrates the areas financially affected. The composite organization is representative of the five interviewees, and it is used to present the aggregate financial analysis in the next section. The composite organization has the following characteristics:
Description of composite. The composite is a discrete diversified manufacturing organization with $150 million in annual revenue derived from two factories in the US. It employs 900 people (in Year 1). Looking to expand as a global manufacturer while still focused on discrete diversified production, the composite acquires a $150-million factory that employs 900 workers in EMEA at the end of Year 1. In general, the types of products produced are industrial components across a broad set of customers with relatively lower volumes. Much like the interviewees’ organizations, the composite is not focused on precision, highly sophisticated, and high-volume production (e.g., semiconductors or pharmaceuticals).
transitions 0 plants in Year 1, generates $0 in revenue per plant in Year 1, has 0 total employees per plant, and replaces 0 legacy ERP solutions over three years. Custom results are based on your inputs and the TEI case study.
| Year 0 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory X ($50M) | Kinetic on-premises ramp to on cloud (3mos) |
Kinetic | ||||
| Factory Y ($100M) | ERP Tool1 | ERP
Tool1 ramp to Kinetic |
Kinetic | |||
| Factory Z
($150M) Acquired at end of Year 1 |
ERP Tool2 | ERP
Tool2 ramp to Kinetic (12mos) |
Kinetic | |||
| Total revenue on Kinetic | $50,000,000 | $150,000,000 | $300,000,000 | $300,000,000 | $300,000,000 | |
| Employees on Kinetic | 300 | 900 | 1,800 | 1,800 | 1,800 | |
| Total composite revenue | $150,000,000 | $150,000,000 | $300,000,000 | $300,000,000 | $300,000,000 | $300,000,000 |
| Total composite employees | 900 | 900 | 1,800 | 1,800 | 1,800 | 1,800 |
Prior state. As shown in Figure 1, the composite organization has two factories in Year 0: Factory X, which drives $50 million in revenue (and has 300 employees), and Factory Y, which generates $100 million in revenue (and has 600 employees). Factory X has been running on the on-premises version of Kinetic but will transition to Kinetic on the cloud during the final three months of Year 0. As an existing user of Kinetic, the effort in transitioning to the cloud is greatly reduced while the impact of the upgraded solution in a cloud environment is meaningful. Factory Y has been using a legacy ERP tool (Tool1). The composite organization plans to transition from ERP Tool1 to Kinetic (on the cloud) in the final nine months of Year 1. Additionally, it is assumed that the acquired company/manufacturing facility (Factory Z, as shown in Figure 1) uses a different legacy ERP tool (Tool2) in the prior state. Factory Z transitions from Tool2 to Kinetic during the twelve months of Year 2. The transitions for Factory Y and Z require more effort and time.
Deployment characteristics and revenue ramp on Kinetic. All three factories are assumed to be using Kinetic in production usage starting with Year 3. What becomes relevant in terms of modeling the benefits and costs for the composite organization are the revenue and employees deployed on Kinetic in any given year. As shown in Figure 1, the revenue and employees utilizing Kinetic is $50 million and 300 in Year 1, building to $150 million and 900 in Year 2, and peaking at $300 million and 1,800 in Year 3.
Key modeling assumptions. To quantify the economic and productivity benefits that the composite organization derives from the deployment of Kinetic, Forrester uses the following set of assumptions in the financial model (calculated and summarized in the reference table on the next page):
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fully operational factories | Composite | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| R2 | Total revenue | Composite | $150M | $300M | $300M | $300M | $300M |
| R3 | Total employees | Composite | 900 | 1,800 | 1,800 | 1,800 | 1,800 |
| R4 | Factories using Kinetic (on cloud) | Composite | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| R5 | Revenue from factories on Kinetic | Composite | $50M | $150M | $300M | $300M | $300M |
| R6 | Employees utilizing Kinetic | Composite | 300 | 900 | 1,800 | 1,800 | 1,800 |
| R7 | Factory workers utilizing Kinetic | Composite | 180 | 558 | 1,152 | 1,152 | 1,152 |
| R8 | Office users utilizing Kinetic | Composite | 50 | 150 | 300 | 300 | 300 |
| R9 | IT ops support team on Kinetic | Composite | 2 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
| R10 | Operating margin | Composite | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| R11 | Effectiveness of Kinetic ramp | Composite | 80% | 90% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Ref. | Benefit | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Total | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atr | Profit gains from revenue improvement driven by factory operations efficiencies | $229,500 $229,500 | $726,750 $726,750 | $1,530,000 $1,530,000 | $1,606,500 $1,606,500 | $1,683,000 $1,683,000 | $5,775,750 $5,775,750 | $4,101,040 $4,101,040 |
| Btr | Faster time to revenue with Kinetic deployment efficiency | $0 $0 | $850,000 $850,000 | $1,912,500 $1,912,500 | $0 $0 | $0 $0 | $2,762,500 $2,762,500 | $2,139,369 $2,139,369 |
| Ctr | Gross margin impact through improved cost efficiencies with Kinetic | $480,000 $480,000 | $1,680,000 $1,680,000 | $4,080,000 $4,080,000 | $4,320,000 $4,320,000 | $4,560,000 $4,560,000 | $15,120,000 $15,120,000 | $10,672,177 $10,672,177 |
| Dtr | Improved productivity of business users and support team | $128,494 $128,494 | $451,190 $451,190 | $963,706 $963,706 | $1,002,643 $1,002,643 | $1,002,643 $1,002,643 | $3,548,676 $3,548,676 | $2,521,124 $2,521,124 |
| Etr | Cost savings from reducing or retiring legacy platforms | $0 $0 | $131,670 $131,670 | $334,590 $334,590 | $431,490 $431,490 | $484,500 $484,500 | $1,382,250 $1,382,250 | $955,750 $955,750 |
| Total benefits (risk-adjusted) | $837,994 $837,994 | $3,839,610 $3,839,610 | $8,820,796 $8,820,796 | $7,360,633 $7,360,633 | $7,730,143 $7,730,143 | $28,589,176 $28,589,176 | $20,389,460 $20,389,460 | |
Evidence and data. Interviewees described how their organizations’ revenues increased after Kinetic helped drive operational efficiencies within their factory locations. Compared to the prior state, interviewees’ organizations experienced reductions in lead times and past-due backlog. More significantly, interviewees saw improvements in operational efficiency gains for factory workers and sales processes improvement. In general, this resulted in their organizations’ ability to deliver more units of product without any meaningful increase in resources, resulting in revenue uplift.
Modeling and assumptions. This benefit focuses on the operating efficiencies for the factory workers that drive revenue improvement and the metrics that drive revenue (lead times, past-due backlog, etc.). For the composite organization, Forrester assumes the following:
Risks. Forrester recognizes that these results may not be representative of all experiences and that the profit gains will vary among organizations depending on the following factors:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 15%, yielding a five-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of just over $4.1 million.
For , with 0 plants transitioning to Kinetic over three years and $0 in annual revenue per plant in Year 3, this benefit may have a five-year, risk-adjusted total PV of .
The following table shows custom results for .
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1 | Number of factories using Kinetic (on cloud) | R4R4 | 11 | 22 | 33 | 33 | 33 | |||
| A2 | Revenue from factories on Kinetic | R5R5 | $50,000,000 $50,000,000 | $150,000,000 $150,000,000 | $300,000,000 $300,000,000 | $300,000,000 $300,000,000 | $300,000,000 $300,000,000 | |||
| A3 | Net improvement in revenue generation | InterviewsTEI case study | 5.4%5.4% | 5.7%5.7% | 6.0%6.0% | 6.3%6.3% | 6.6%6.6% | |||
| A4 | Operating margin | R10TEI standard | 10%10% | 10%10% | 10%10% | 10%10% | 10%10% | |||
| At | Profit gains from revenue improvement driven by factory operations efficiencies | A2*A3*A4 | $270,000 $270,000 | $855,000 $855,000 | $1,800,000 $1,800,000 | $1,890,000 $1,890,000 | $1,980,000 $1,980,000 | |||
| Risk adjustment | ↓15% | |||||||||
| Atr | Profit gains from revenue improvement driven by factory operations efficiencies (risk-adjusted) | $229,500 $229,500 | $726,750 $726,750 | $1,530,000 $1,530,000 | $1,606,500 $1,606,500 | $1,683,000 $1,683,000 | ||||
| Five-year total: $5,775,750 $5,775,750 | Five-year present value: $4,101,040 $4,101,040 | |||||||||
Evidence and data. Differing from Benefit A, this benefit details how the interviewees’ organizations achieved faster time to revenue with quicker deployment processes for Kinetic. Compared to competitive ERP tools that had a longer time to deploy, the interviewees noted their organizations got Kinetic up and running within a shorter time period, helping them reap revenue benefits sooner than they would with alternative ERP tools.
Modeling and assumptions. For the composite organization, Forrester assumes the following:
Risks. Forrester recognizes that these results may not be representative of all experiences and that speed to revenue depends upon the following factors:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 15%, yielding a five-year, risk-adjusted total PV of over $2.1 million.
For , if additional factories are onboarded in Year 2 with a 60% revenue improvement attributed to Kinetic, this benefit may have a five-year, risk-adjusted total PV of .
The following table shows custom results for .
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B1 | Faster ramp to Kinetic (on cloud) for factory transitions (months) | InterviewsScaled to A2 | 22 | 33 | |||
| B2 | Factory revenue transitioning to Kinetic |
R5-R5PY
A2 Y2-Y1 A2 Y3-Y2 |
$0 $0 | $100,000,000 $100,000,000 | $150,000,000 $150,000,000 | $0 $0 | $0 $0 |
| B3 | Percentage of revenue improvement attributed to Kinetic | CompositeTEI case study | 60%60% | 60%60% | 60%60% | 60%60% | 60%60% |
| B4 | Operating margin | R10TEI statndard | 10%10% | 10%10% | 10%10% | 10%10% | 10%10% |
| Bt | Faster time to revenue with Kinetic deployment efficiency | (B1/12)*B2*B3*B4 | $0 $0 | $1,000,000 $1,000,000 | $2,250,000 $2,250,000 | $0 $0 | $0 $0 |
| Risk adjustment | ↓15% | ||||||
| Btr | Faster time to revenue with Kinetic deployment efficiency (risk-adjusted) | $0 $0 | $850,000 $850,000 | $1,912,500 $1,912,500 | $0 $0 | $0 $0 | |
| Five-year total: $2,762,500 $2,762,500 | Five-year present value: $2,139,369 $2,139,369 | ||||||
Evidence and data. With improved overall visibility into pricing, production, and costs, interviewees discussed how Kinetic helped them increase gross margins in dynamic ways that their organizations were not able to achieve while utilizing legacy systems. Leveraging Kinetic to impact gross margins, interviewees were able to improve inventory management, reduce write-offs, and standardize on a bill of materials (BOM) capability (especially meaningful for low-volume, sub-assembly production).
Modeling and assumptions. This benefit focuses on the gross margin improvement achieved due to a reduction in costs. It is important to note that this benefit does not overlap (or double count) the value of Benefit A which applies to revenue-related metrics. In creating the financial model, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. Forrester recognizes that these financial model results may not be representative of all experiences and that gross margin impact can be influenced by the following factors:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 20%, yielding a five-year, risk-adjusted total PV of more than $10.6 million.
For , with $0, $0, and $0 in annual revenue per plant in Years 1, 2, and 3, respectively, this benefit may have a five-year, risk-adjusted total PV of .
The following table shows custom results for .
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C1 | Revenue from factories on Kinetic | R5R5 | $50,000,000 $50,000,000 | $150,000,000 $150,000,000 | $300,000,000 $300,000,000 | $300,000,000 $300,000,000 | $300,000,000 $300,000,000 | |||
| C2 | Net improvement in gross margin since deploying Kinetic | InterviewsTEI case study | 1.2%1.2% | 1.4%1.4% | 1.7%1.7% | 1.8%1.8% | 1.9%1.9% | |||
| Ct | Gross margin impact through improved cost efficiencies with Kinetic | C1*C2 | $600,000 $600,000 | $2,100,000 $2,100,000 | $5,100,000 $5,100,000 | $5,400,000 $5,400,000 | $5,700,000 $5,700,000 | |||
| Risk adjustment | ↓20% | |||||||||
| Ctr | Gross margin impact through improved cost efficiencies with Kinetic (risk-adjusted) | $480,000 $480,000 | $1,680,000 $1,680,000 | $4,080,000 $4,080,000 | $4,320,000 $4,320,000 | $4,560,000 $4,560,000 | ||||
| Five-year total: $15,120,000 $15,120,000 | Five-year present value: $10,672,177 $10,672,177 | |||||||||
Evidence and data. Interviewees explained that because Kinetic is a streamlined, easy-to-use platform, it saved their business operations and IT teams valuable time compared to when these teams performed similar tasks on a legacy ERP system. Having a cloud-based tool that could be centrally managed (single pane of glass) across multiple locations also contributed to IT resource efficiency.
Modeling and assumptions. This benefit quantifies the productivity improvement for business users and the IT team supporting Kinetic. The productivity improvement for factory workers is embedded in the revenue improvement quantified in Benefit A (and thus, not double counted). Forrester makes the following assumptions about the composite organization’s experience with improved productivity:
Risks. Forrester recognizes that these financial model results may not reflect the unique experiences of organizations using Kinetic, and this productivity benefit can be impacted by the following factors:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 10%, yielding a five-year, risk-adjusted total PV of just over $2.5 million.
For , with 0 per plant in Year 1, which is scaled to revenue per plant in Years 2 and 3, this benefit may have a five-year, risk-adjusted total PV of .
The following table shows custom results for .
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | Business users on Kinetic | R8R8 | 5050 | 150150 | 300300 | 300300 | 300300 | |||||
| D2 | Annual hours spent by business users on ERP system before Kinetic (per user) | 2,080*0.252,080*0.25 | 520520 | 520520 | 520520 | 520520 | 520520 | |||||
| D3 | Net productivity improvement for users with Kinetic | InterviewsTEI case study | 16%16% | 18%18% | 20%20% | 20%20% | 20%20% | |||||
| D4 | Fully burdened hourly salary for a business user | TEI standard | $52 $52 | $52 $52 | $52 $52 | $52 $52 | $52 $52 | |||||
| D5 | Subtotal: Productivity improvement for business users | D1*D2*D3*D4 | $216,320 $216,320 | $730,080 $730,080 | $1,622,400 $1,622,400 | $1,622,400 $1,622,400 | $1,622,400 $1,622,400 | |||||
| D6 | IT ops support team users on Kinetic | R9Scaled to D1 | 22 | 77 | 1212 | 1414 | 1414 | |||||
| D7 | Annual hours spent by IT ops team users before Kinetic (per user) | 2,080*0.8TEI case study | 1,6641,664 | 1,6641,664 | 1,6641,664 | 1,6641,664 | 1,6641,664 | |||||
| D8 | Net productivity improvement for IT ops support team with Kinetic | InterviewsTEI case study | 32%32% | 36%36% | 40%40% | 40%40% | 40%40% | |||||
| D9 | Fully burdened hourly salary for an IT ops professional | TEI standard | $65 $65 | $65 $65 | $65 $65 | $65 $65 | $65 $65 | |||||
| D10 | Subtotal: Productivity improvement for ERP support team | D6*D7*D8*D9 | $69,222 $69,222 | $272,563 $272,563 | $519,168 $519,168 | $605,696 $605,696 | $605,696 $605,696 | |||||
| D11 | Productivity adjustment factor | TEI standard | 50%50% | 50%50% | 50%50% | 50%50% | 50%50% | |||||
| Dt | Improved productivity of business users and support team | (D5+D10)*D11 | $142,771 $142,771 | $501,322 $501,322 | $1,070,784 $1,070,784 | $1,114,048 $1,114,048 | $1,114,048 $1,114,048 | |||||
| Risk adjustment | ↓10% | |||||||||||
| Dtr | Improved productivity of business users and support team (risk-adjusted) | $128,494 $128,494 | $451,190 $451,190 | $963,706 $963,706 | $1,002,643 $1,002,643 | $1,002,643 $1,002,643 | ||||||
| Five-year total: $3,548,676 $3,548,676 | Five-year present value: $2,521,124 $2,521,124 | |||||||||||
Evidence and data. While Kinetic is the cloud-native version of Epicor for manufacturing ERP, interviewees noted that the ability to move between the on-premises version and Kinetic (on the cloud) was an important capability. This allowed them to eliminate all costs related to their legacy ERP tools. As a first order of impact, this meant the reduction in and retirement of annual maintenance and platform support costs due to the interviewees’ organizations decommissioning their legacy ERP systems.
Modeling and assumptions. In creating the financial model, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization’s process of retiring its legacy ERP systems:
Risks. Forrester recognizes that these financial model results may not reflect the unique experiences of organizations using Kinetic, and this legacy tool retirement benefit can be impacted by the following factors:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 5%, yielding a five-year, risk-adjusted total PV of nearly $956,000.
For , with 0 legacy ERP solutions being decommissioned over three years, this benefit may have a five-year, risk-adjusted total PV of .
The following table shows custom results for .
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E1 | Cost of maintenance and product support for legacy ERP Tool1 | CompositeTEI case study | $96,000 $96,000 | $96,000 $96,000 | $96,000 $96,000 | $96,000 $96,000 | ||
| E2 | Internal legacy platform support costs (1 FTE) | CompositeTEI case study | $135,000 $135,000 | $135,000 $135,000 | $135,000 $135,000 | $135,000 $135,000 | ||
| E3 | Percentage of legacy ERP Tool1 decommissioned | CompositeTEI case study | 60%60% | 80%80% | 100%100% | 100%100% | ||
| E4 | Cost of maintenance and product support for legacy ERP Tool2 | CompositeTEI case study | $144,000 $144,000 | $144,000 $144,000 | $144,000 $144,000 | |||
| E5 | Internal legacy platform support costs (1 FTE) | CompositeE2 | $135,000 $135,000 | $135,000 $135,000 | $135,000 $135,000 | |||
| E6 | Percentage of legacy ERP Tool2 decommissioned | CompositeTEI case study | 60%60% | 80%80% | 100%100% | |||
| Et | Cost savings from reducing or retiring legacy platforms | ((E1+E2)*E3)+((E4+E5)*E6) | $0 $0 | $138,600 $138,600 | $352,200 $352,200 | $454,200 $454,200 | $510,000 $510,000 | |
| Risk adjustment | ↓5% | |||||||
| Etr | Cost savings from reducing or retiring legacy platforms (risk-adjusted) | $0 $0 | $131,670 $131,670 | $334,590 $334,590 | $431,490 $431,490 | $484,500 $484,500 | ||
| Five-year total: $1,382,250 $1,382,250 | Five-year present value: $955,750 $955,750 | |||||||
Interviewees mentioned the following additional benefits that their organizations experienced but were not able to quantify:
The value of flexibility is unique to each customer. There are multiple scenarios in which a customer might implement Kinetic and later realize additional uses and business opportunities, including:
Flexibility would also be quantified when evaluated as part of a specific project (described in more detail in Appendix A).
| Ref | Cost | Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Total | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ftr | External: Kinetic (on cloud) solution cost | $38,850 $38,850 | $237,825 $237,825 | $526,050 $526,050 | $599,550 $599,550 | $644,700 $644,700 | $694,050 $694,050 | $2,741,025 $2,741,025 | $2,011,547 $2,011,547 |
| Gtr | Internal: Initial and deployment-related training | $46,690 $46,690 | $66,125 $66,125 | $81,075 $81,075 | $46,690 $46,690 | $46,690 $46,690 | $46,690 $46,690 | $333,960 $333,960 | $269,767 $269,767 |
| Htr | Kinetic deployment internal and external costs for additional factories | $93,844 $93,844 | $1,006,031 $1,006,031 | $1,748,250 $1,748,250 | $0 $0 | $0 $0 | $0 $0 | $2,848,125 $2,848,125 | $2,453,252 $2,453,252 |
| Itr | Internal: Ongoing support costs | $70,875 $70,875 | $106,313 $106,313 | $212,625 $212,625 | $212,625 $212,625 | $212,625 $212,625 | $212,625 $212,625 | $1,027,688 $1,027,688 | $780,243 $780,243 |
| Total costs (risk-adjusted) | $250,259 $250,259 | $1,416,294 $1,416,294 | $2,568,000 $2,568,000 | $858,865 $858,865 | $904,015 $904,015 | $953,365 $953,365 | $6,950,798 $6,950,798 | $5,514,809 $5,514,809 | |
Evidence and data. Interviewees noted that their Kinetic licensing costs were based on the number of users who utilize the Kinetic cloud platform. Priority cloud add-ons were typically recommended by Epicor and were modular, in that interviewees’ organizations could choose the set of capabilities required.
Modeling and assumptions. For the composite organization, Forrester assumes the following:
Risks. The following risks can potentially impact Kinetic cloud solutions costs:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this cost upward by 5%, yielding a five-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of just over $2 million.
For , Kinetic (On Cloud) solution cost may have a five-year, risk-adjusted total PV of .
The following table shows custom results for .
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F1 | SaaS licensing | CompositeYour organization | $37,000 $37,000 | $201,500 $201,500 | $426,000 $426,000 | $426,000 $426,000 | $469,000 $469,000 | $516,000 $516,000 | |||||
| F2 | Priority cloud add-ons | CompositeScaled to F1 | $25,000 $25,000 | $75,000 $75,000 | $145,000 $145,000 | $145,000 $145,000 | $145,000 $145,000 | ||||||
| Ft | External: Kinetic (on cloud) solution cost | F1+F2 | $37,000 $37,000 | $226,500 $226,500 | $501,000 $501,000 | $571,000 $571,000 | $614,000 $614,000 | $661,000 $661,000 | |||||
| Risk adjustment | ↑5% | ||||||||||||
| Ftr | External: Kinetic (on cloud) solution cost (risk-adjusted) | $38,850 $38,850 | $237,825 $237,825 | $526,050 $526,050 | $599,550 $599,550 | $644,700 $644,700 | $694,050 $694,050 | ||||||
| Five-year total: $2,741,025 $2,741,025 | Five-year present value: $2,011,547 $2,011,547 | ||||||||||||
Evidence and data. Interviewees discussed the need for training on the Kinetic platform for different user types within their organization, including ERP support team users, business and operational users, and factory workers. Since training needs and salaries differed among these groups, the model outlines the calculations for each.
Modeling and assumptions. For the composite organization, Forrester assumes the following:
Risks. The following risks can potentially impact the cost of initial and deployment related training for Kinetic:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this cost upward by 5%, yielding a five-year, risk-adjusted total PV of just under $270,000.
For , initial and deployment-related training costs may have a five-year, risk-adjusted total PV of .
The following table shows custom results for .
| Ref | Metric | Source | Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G1 | Hours needed to train ERP support team FTE (per FTE) | InterviewsTEI case study | 2020 | 2020 | 2020 | 2020 | 2020 | 2020 | |||||
| G2 | Incremental ERP support team FTEs trained | CompositeScaled to D6 | 22 | 55 | 55 | 22 | 22 | 22 | |||||
| G3 | Fully burdened hourly rate for an ERP support team member | TEI standard | $65 $65 | $65 $65 | $65 $65 | $65 $65 | $65 $65 | $65 $65 | |||||
| G4 | Hours needed to train business users (per FTE) | InterviewsTEI case study | 55 | 55 | 55 | 55 | 55 | 55 | |||||
| G5 | Incremental business users trained | CompositeComposite | 5050 | 100100 | 150150 | 5050 | 5050 | 5050 | |||||
| G6 | Fully burdened hourly rate for a business user | TEI standard | $52 $52 | $52 $52 | $52 $52 | $52 $52 | $52 $52 | $52 $52 | |||||
| G7 | Training for factory workers and other ongoing training costs | CompositeTEI case study | $25,000 $25,000 | $25,000 $25,000 | $25,000 $25,000 | $25,000 $25,000 | $25,000 $25,000 | $25,000 $25,000 | |||||
| Gt | Internal: Initial and deployment-related training | (G1*G2*G3)*(G4*G5*G6) | $40,600 $40,600 | $57,500 $57,500 | $70,500 $70,500 | $40,600 $40,600 | $40,600 $40,600 | $40,600 $40,600 | |||||
| Risk adjustment | ↑15% | ||||||||||||
| Gtr | Internal: Initial and deployment-related training (risk-adjusted) | $46,690 $46,690 | $66,125 $66,125 | $81,075 $81,075 | $46,690 $46,690 | $46,690 $46,690 | $46,690 $46,690 | ||||||
| Five-year total: $333,960 $333,960 | Five-year present value: $269,767 $269,767 | ||||||||||||
Evidence and data. These internal and external deployment costs pertained to the time period when the interviewees’ organizations actively deployed Kinetic to their additional factories initially and in the first two years of deployment. This included internal IT staff and the Professional Services team at Epicor.
Modeling and assumptions. For the financial model, Forrester assumes the following:
Risks. The following risks can potentially impact the cost of adding new factories to the Kinetic platform:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this cost upward by 5%, yielding a five-year, risk-adjusted total PV of just under $2.5 million.
For , internal and external deployment costs for additional factories may have a five-year, risk-adjusted total PV of .
The following table shows custom results for .
| Ref | Metric | Source | Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 | Time for Kinetic deployment (months) | CompositeComposite | 33 | 99 | 1212 | |||||||||
| H2 | FTE and SME effort required for transition to Kinetic | CompositeComposite | 2.52.5 | 6.56.5 | 9.09.0 | |||||||||
| H3 | Fully burdened annual salary for IT ops and SME professionals | TEI standard | $135,000 $135,000 | $135,000 $135,000 | $135,000 $135,000 | |||||||||
| H4 | External implementation and project management services by Epicor | CompositeComposite | $5,000 $5,000 | $300,000 $300,000 | $450,000 $450,000 | |||||||||
| Ht | Kinetic deployment internal and external costs for additional factories | ((H1/12)*H2*H3)+H4 | $89,375 $89,375 | $958,125 $958,125 | $1,665,000 $1,665,000 | $0 $0 | $0 $0 | $0 $0 | ||||||
| Risk adjustment | ↑5% | |||||||||||||
| Htr | Kinetic deployment internal and external costs for additional factories (risk-adjusted) | $93,844 $93,844 | $1,006,031 $1,006,031 | $1,748,250 $1,748,250 | $0 $0 | $0 $0 | $0 $0 | |||||||
| Five-year total: $2,848,125 $2,848,125 | Five-year present value: $2,453,252 $2,453,252 | |||||||||||||
Evidence and data. The costs outlined below represent the ongoing resources the interviewees’ organizations needed to support the Kinetic platform and its functionality.
Modeling and assumptions. The following assumptions were made when modeling the ongoing support costs when using Kinetic:
Risks. The following risks can potentially impact the ongoing support costs associated with managing Kinetic:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this cost upward by 5%, yielding a five-year, risk-adjusted total PV of just over $780,000.
For , internal ongoing support costs may have a five-year, risk-adjusted total PV of .
The following table shows custom results for .
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I1 | Annual IT ops FTE effort for ongoing support (FTE) | InterviewsScaled to A1 | 0.500.50 | 0.750.75 | 1.501.50 | 1.501.50 | 1.501.50 | 1.501.50 | |||||
| I2 | Fully burdened annual salary for an IT ops professional | TEI standard | $135,000 $135,000 | $135,000 $135,000 | $135,000 $135,000 | $135,000 $135,000 | $135,000 $135,000 | $135,000 $135,000 | |||||
| It | Internal: Ongoing support costs | I1*I2 | $67,500 $67,500 | $101,250 $101,250 | $202,500 $202,500 | $202,500 $202,500 | $202,500 $202,500 | $202,500 $202,500 | |||||
| Risk adjustment | ↑5% | ||||||||||||
| Itr | Internal: Ongoing support costs (risk-adjusted) | $70,875 $70,875 | $106,313 $106,313 | $212,625 $212,625 | $212,625 $212,625 | $212,625 $212,625 | $212,625 $212,625 | ||||||
| Five-year total: $1,027,688 $1,027,688 | Five-year present value: $780,243 $780,243 | ||||||||||||
The financial results calculated in the Benefits and Costs sections can be used to determine the ROI, NPV, and payback period for the composite organization’s investment. Forrester assumes a yearly discount rate of 10% for this analysis.
These risk-adjusted ROI, NPV, and payback period values are determined by applying risk-adjustment factors to the unadjusted results in each Benefit and Cost section.
| Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Total | Present Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total costs | ($250,259)($250,259) | ($1,416,294)($1,416,294) | ($2,568,000)($2,568,000) | ($858,865)($858,865) | ($904,015)($904,015) | ($953,365)($953,365) | ($6,950,798)($6,950,798) | ($5,514,809)($5,514,809) |
| Total benefits | $0 $0 | $837,994 $837,994 | $3,839,610 $3,839,610 | $8,820,796 $8,820,796 | $7,360,633 $7,360,633 | $7,730,143 $7,730,143 | $28,589,176 $28,589,176 | $20,389,460 $20,389,460 |
| Net benefits | ($250,259)($250,259) | ($578,300)($578,300) | $1,271,610 $1,271,610 | $7,961,931 $7,961,931 | $6,456,618 $6,456,618 | $6,776,778 $6,776,778 | $21,638,378 $21,638,378 | $14,874,651 $14,874,651 |
| ROI | 270%270% | |||||||
| Payback | 2020 | |||||||
Total Economic Impact is a methodology developed by Forrester Research that enhances a company’s technology decision-making processes and assists vendors in communicating the value proposition of their products and services to clients. The TEI methodology helps companies demonstrate, justify, and realize the tangible value of IT initiatives to both senior management and other key business stakeholders.
Benefits represent the value delivered to the business by the product. The TEI methodology places equal weight on the measure of benefits and the measure of costs, allowing for a full examination of the effect of the technology on the entire organization.
Costs consider all expenses necessary to deliver the proposed value, or benefits, of the product. The cost category within TEI captures incremental costs over the existing environment for ongoing costs associated with the solution.
Flexibility represents the strategic value that can be obtained for some future additional investment building on top of the initial investment already made. Having the ability to capture that benefit has a PV that can be estimated.
Risks measure the uncertainty of benefit and cost estimates given: 1) the likelihood that estimates will meet original projections and 2) the likelihood that estimates will be tracked over time. TEI risk factors are based on “triangular distribution.”
The initial investment column contains costs incurred at “time 0” or at the beginning of Year 1 that are not discounted. All other cash flows are discounted using the discount rate at the end of the year. PV calculations are calculated for each total cost and benefit estimate. NPV calculations in the summary tables are the sum of the initial investment and the discounted cash flows in each year. Sums and present value calculations of the Total Benefits, Total Costs, and Cash Flow tables may not exactly add up, as some rounding may occur.
1 Source: The Digital Operations Planning And Analytics Landscape, Q3 2023, Forrester Research, Inc., September 20, 2023.
2 Source: The PLM For Discrete Manufacturing Landscape, Q4 2022, Forrester Research, Inc., December 27, 2022.
3 Total Economic Impact is a methodology developed by Forrester Research that enhances a company’s technology decision-making processes and assists vendors in communicating the value proposition of their products and services to clients. The TEI methodology helps companies demonstrate, justify, and realize the tangible value of IT initiatives to both senior management and other key business stakeholders.
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