A Forrester Total Economic Impact™ Study Commissioned By Checkout.com, July 2024
The payment service provider (PSP) landscape is crowded, highly competitive, and includes a mix of legacy providers and established digital-first players. Merchants now look for providers that not only process payments, but that also support their globalization needs, embrace payment innovation, and optimize payment experiences.1 Checkout.com offers a wide range of modern payment-related solutions that can help customers navigate the digital economy.
Checkout.com is a digital PSP that provides businesses with the technology and expertise to accept payments online and disburse funds through a range of payment methods and integration options. Checkout.com also helps merchants to maximize the number of accepted payments and their performance by offering Intelligent Acceptance and authentication, identity verification, and fraud detection tools.
Checkout.com commissioned Forrester Consulting to conduct a Total Economic Impact™ (TEI) study and examine the potential return on investment (ROI) enterprises may realize by deploying Checkout.com.2 The purpose of this study is to provide readers with a framework to evaluate the potential financial impact of Checkout.com on their organizations.
To better understand the benefits, costs, and risks associated with this investment, Forrester interviewed six representatives of five organizations with experience using Checkout.com. For the purposes of this study, Forrester aggregated the interviewees’ experiences and combined the results into a single composite organization that is a B2C organization with $10 billion annual transaction volume, $25 average transaction value, and an authorization rate of 85%.
has an annual transaction volume of with an average transaction value of and an authorization rate of . of total transaction volume will be routed to Checkout.com in Year 1, in Year 2, and in Year 3 of the analysis. Custom results are based on user inputs and the TEI case study.
Interviewees said that prior to using Checkout.com, their organizations often had a mix of providers of payment-related services. The organizations sought to address problems including high costs, processing latency, outages, and poor technical support.
After integrating Checkout.com into their payments ecosystems, the interviewees’ organizations gained incremental profit from higher authorization rates, saved costs from mitigating payment retries, and reduced costs with Checkout.com’s pricing. They also streamlined chargeback management and fraud controls, improved operational efficiency with better cost transparency, and reduced risks with access to Checkout.com’s payment expertise and proactive support.
Quantified benefits. Three-year, risk-adjusted present value (PV) quantified benefits for the composite organization include:
For , this benefit might be worth over three years.
For , this benefit might be worth over three years.
For , this benefit might be worth over three years.
Unquantified benefits. Benefits that provide value for the composite organization but are not quantified for this study include:
Costs. Three-year, risk-adjusted PV costs for the composite organization include:
For , these costs could represent over three years.
For , these costs could represent over three years.
The representative interviews and financial analysis found that a composite organization experiences benefits of $19.23 million over three years versus costs of $6.83 million, adding up to a net present value (NPV) of $12.40 million and an ROI of 182%.
might experience benefits of over three years versus costs of , adding up to an NPV of and an ROI of 0%.
Return on investment (ROI)
Benefits PV
Net present value (NPV)
Payback
From the information provided in the interviews, Forrester constructed a Total Economic Impact™ framework for those organizations considering an investment in Checkout.com.
The objective of the framework is to identify the cost, benefit, flexibility, and risk factors that affect the investment decision. Forrester took a multistep approach to evaluate the impact that Checkout.com can have on an organization.
Interviewed Checkout.com stakeholders and Forrester analysts to gather data relative to Checkout.com.
Interviewed six representatives at five organizations using Checkout.com to obtain data about costs, benefits, and risks.
Designed a composite organization based on characteristics of the interviewees’ organizations.
Constructed a financial model representative of the interviews using the TEI methodology and risk-adjusted the financial model based on issues and concerns of the interviewees.
Employed four fundamental elements of TEI in modeling the investment impact: benefits, costs, flexibility, and risks. Given the increasing sophistication of ROI analyses related to IT investments, Forrester’s TEI methodology provides a complete picture of the total economic impact of purchase decisions. Please see Appendix A for additional information on the TEI methodology.
Readers should be aware of the following:
This study is commissioned by Checkout.com and delivered by Forrester Consulting. It is not meant to be used as a competitive analysis.
Forrester makes no assumptions as to the potential ROI that other organizations will receive. Forrester strongly advises that readers use their own estimates within the framework provided in the study to determine the appropriateness of an investment in Checkout.com. For the interactive functionality using Configure Data/Custom Data, the intent is for the questions to solicit inputs specific to a prospect's business. Forrester believes that this analysis is representative of what companies may achieve with Checkout.com based on the inputs provided and any assumptions made. Forrester does not endorse Checkout.com or its offerings. Although great care has been taken to ensure the accuracy and completeness of this model, Checkout.com and Forrester Research are unable to accept any legal responsibility for any actions taken on the basis of the information contained herein. The interactive tool is provided ‘AS IS,’ and Forrester and Checkout.com make no warranties of any kind.
Checkout.com reviewed and provided feedback to Forrester, but Forrester maintains editorial control over the study and its findings and does not accept changes to the study that contradict Forrester’s findings or obscure the meaning of the study.
Checkout.com provided the customer names for the interviews but did not participate in the interviews.
Consulting Team:
Sanny Mok
Corrado Loreto
| Role | Industry | Market(s) | Annual transaction volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senior
engineering manager Global head of payments partnerships |
Fintech | Global | $90 billion |
| Senior director of global payments | Digital consumer goods | Global | $25 billion |
| VP of payments | Food and beverage | Europe, North America | $300 million |
| VP of payment ops | E-commerce | North America | $800 million |
| Payments team member | Remittance | North America | $40 billion |
Prior to using Checkout.com, interviewees’ organizations had multiple payment-processor partners, but not all of them were meeting their requirements for an online-first platform. The interviewees noted how their organizations struggled with common challenges, including:
The interviewees’ organizations searched for a solution that could:
Based on the interviews, Forrester constructed a TEI framework, a composite company, and an ROI analysis that illustrates the areas financially affected. The composite organization is representative of the six interviewees, and it is used to present the aggregate financial analysis in the next section. The composite organization has the following characteristics:
Description of composite. The composite organization is a B2C organization with $10 billion annual transaction volume, $25 of average transaction value, and 89% as baseline authorization rate. Prior to using Checkout.com, it processed payments using multiple PSPs including modern providers.
has an annual transaction volume of with an average transaction value of and an authorization rate of . of total transaction volume will be routed to Checkout.com in Year 1, in Year 2, and in Year 3 of the analysis.
Deployment characteristics. Initially, the composite organization adopts Checkout.com’s core processing services (acquiring services, gateway services, and payment processing). The composite then adopts additional solutions such as Intelligent Acceptance in Year 1 and plans to adopt Checkout.com’s chargeback and fraud solutions. The composite processes 5% of its transaction volume through Checkout.com in Year 1, up to 20% in Year 2, and 50% in Year 3.
The following table shows custom results for .
| Ref. | Benefit | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Total | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atr | Improved payment acceptance rates | $873,529 $873,529 | $4,192,939 $4,192,939 | $12,229,406 $12,229,406 | $17,295,874 $17,295,874 | $13,447,490 $13,447,490 |
| Btr | Cost savings with avoided retries | $96,483 $96,483 | $366,011 $366,011 | $905,065 $905,065 | $1,367,559 $1,367,559 | $1,070,189 $1,070,189 |
| Ctr | Avoided existing PSP costs | $414,372 $414,372 | $1,614,646 $1,614,646 | $3,990,714 $3,990,714 | $6,019,731 $6,019,731 | $4,709,402 $4,709,402 |
| Total benefits (risk-adjusted) | $1,384,384 $1,384,384 | $6,173,595 $6,173,595 | $17,125,185 $17,125,185 | $24,683,164 $24,683,164 | $19,227,081 $19,227,081 | |
Evidence and data. Interviewees said their organizations compared performance with Checkout.com against their existing processors, and they observed higher payment acceptance rates with Checkout.com.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. Factors that can impact the realization of this benefit include:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 10%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $13.4 million.
For , this benefit may have a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV of .
The following table shows custom results for .
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1 | Total transaction attempts | CompositeComposite | 470,588,000470,588,000 | 470,588,000470,588,000 | 470,588,000470,588,000 |
| A2 | Percentage of transactions processed by Checkout.com | CompositeComposite | 5%5% | 20%20% | 50%50% |
| A3 | Authorization rate before using Checkout.com | InterviewsInterviews | 85%85% | 85%85% | 85%85% |
| A4 | Authorization rate uplift (percentage points) | Interviews | 1.50%1.50% | 1.80%1.80% | 2.10%2.10% |
| A5 | Average transaction value | CompositeComposite | $25 $25 | $25 $25 | $25 $25 |
| A6 | Operating profit margin | TEI standard | 11%11% | 11%11% | 11%11% |
| At | Improved payment acceptance rates | A1*A2*A4*A5*A6 | $970,588 $970,588 | $4,658,821 $4,658,821 | $13,588,229 $13,588,229 |
| Risk adjustment | ↓10% | ||||
| Atr | Improved payment acceptance rates (risk-adjusted) | $873,529 $873,529 | $4,192,939 $4,192,939 | $12,229,406 $12,229,406 | |
| Three-year total: $17,295,874 $17,295,874 | Three-year present value: $13,447,490 $13,447,490 | ||||
Evidence and data. Checkout.com’s Intelligent Acceptance optimizes payments, reducing friction at checkout and minimizing the need for merchants to retry payments.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. The value of this benefit may vary depending on:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 10%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $1.0 million.
For , this benefit may have a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV of .
The following table shows custom results for .
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B1 | Total transaction attempts | CompositeComposite | 470,588,000470,588,000 | 470,588,000470,588,000 | 470,588,000470,588,000 | |
| B2 | Percentage of transactions processed by Checkout.com | CompositeComposite | 5%5% | 20%20% | 50%50% | |
| B3 | Percentage of transactions processed by Checkout.com and optimized by Intelligent Acceptance | CompositeTEI case study | 80%80% | 80%80% | 80%80% | |
| B4 | First-time authorization rate uplift with Intelligent Acceptance | Interviews | 7%7% | 7%7% | 7%7% | |
| B5 | Average retries per transaction | CompositeComposite | 33 | 33 | 33 | |
| B6 | Avoided retries | B1*B2*B3*B4*B5 | 3,952,9393,952,939 | 15,811,75715,811,757 | 39,529,39239,529,392 | |
| B7 | Average transaction value | CompositeComposite | $25 $25 | $25 $25 | $25 $25 | |
| B8 | Avoided scheme fees as a percentage of transaction value | CompositeScaled for | 0.057%0.057% | 0.057%0.057% | 0.057%0.057% | |
| B9 | Avoided gateway fee per transaction | CompositeScaled for | $0.0129 $0.0129 | $0.0115 $0.0115 | $0.0112 $0.0112 | |
| Bt | Cost savings with avoided retries | B6*(B7*B8+B9) | $107,204 $107,204 | $406,678 $406,678 | $1,005,628 $1,005,628 | |
| Risk adjustment | ↓10% | |||||
| Btr | Cost savings with avoided retries (risk-adjusted) | $96,483 $96,483 | $366,011 $366,011 | $905,065 $905,065 | ||
| Three-year total: $1,367,559 $1,367,559 | Three-year present value: $1,070,189 $1,070,189 | |||||
Evidence and data. Interviewees’ organization incurred transaction fees for payments processed by existing PSPs. These fees were avoided when they routed transactions to Checkout.com. Note that Checkout.com charges transaction fees (see the Costs section below).
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. The value of avoided existing PSP costs may vary depending on:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 15%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $4.7 million.
For , this benefit may have a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV of .
The following table shows custom results for .
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C1 | Transaction volume | CompositeComposite | $10,000,000,000 $10,000,000,000 | $10,000,000,000 $10,000,000,000 | $10,000,000,000 $10,000,000,000 |
| C2 | Average transaction value | CompositeComposite | $25 $25 | $25 $25 | $25 $25 |
| C3 | Percentage of transactions processed by Checkout.com | CompositeComposite | 5%5% | 20%20% | 50%50% |
| C4 | Acquiring fees paid to other providers as a percentage of volume | InterviewsScaled for | 0.0189%0.0189% | 0.0189%0.0189% | 0.0189%0.0189% |
| C5 | Gateway fees paid to other providers per transaction | InterviewsScaled for | $0.0186 $0.0186 | $0.0186 $0.0186 | $0.0186 $0.0186 |
| C6 | Subtotal: Avoided acquiring fees | C1*C3*(C4) | $94,688 $94,688 | $378,750 $378,750 | $946,875 $946,875 |
| C7 | Subtotal: Avoided gateway fees | C1/C2*C3*C5 | $371,208 $371,208 | $1,484,833 $1,484,833 | $3,712,083 $3,712,083 |
| C8 | Support costs paid to other processors | Interviews | $72,000 $72,000 | $72,000 $72,000 | $72,000 $72,000 |
| C9 | Avoided support costs | Interviews | 30%30% | 50%50% | 50%50% |
| Ct | Avoided existing PSP costs | C6+C7+C8*C9 | $487,496 $487,496 | $1,899,583 $1,899,583 | $4,694,958 $4,694,958 |
| Risk adjustment | ↓15% | ||||
| Ctr | Avoided existing PSP costs (risk-adjusted) | $414,372 $414,372 | $1,614,646 $1,614,646 | $3,990,714 $3,990,714 | |
| Three-year total: $6,019,731 $6,019,731 | Three-year present value: $4,709,402 $4,709,402 | ||||
Interviewees mentioned the following additional benefits that their organizations experienced but were not able to quantify:
The value of flexibility is unique to each customer. There are multiple scenarios in which a customer might implement Checkout.com and later realize additional uses and business opportunities, including:
Flexibility would also be quantified when evaluated as part of a specific project (described in more detail in Appendix A).
The following table shows custom results for .
| Ref. | Cost | Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Total | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dtr | Checkout.com fees | $0 $0 | $684,599 $684,599 | $2,327,009 $2,327,009 | $5,626,948 $5,626,948 | $8,638,556 $8,638,556 | $6,773,120 $6,773,120 |
| Etr | Implementation and ongoing maintenance | $38,027 $38,027 | $5,831 $5,831 | $8,366 $8,366 | $3,296 $3,296 | $55,519 $55,519 | $52,718 $52,718 |
| Total costs (risk-adjusted) | $38,027 $38,027 | $690,430 $690,430 | $2,335,375 $2,335,375 | $5,630,243 $5,630,243 | $8,694,075 $8,694,075 | $6,825,838 $6,825,838 | |
Evidence and data. Checkout.com charged interviewees’ organizations transactions fees using an IC++ pricing model that broke down costs into pass-through interchange fees to card issuing banks, card-scheme fees paid to card networks, and acquirer fees paid to Checkout.com. The organizations also incurred gateway fees for using Checkout.com’s gateway services.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. Transaction fees vary depending on:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this cost upward by 5%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $6.8 million.
For , with an annual transaction volume of , an average transaction value of , authorization rate of , of total transaction volume to be routed to Checkout.com in Year 1, in Year 2, and in Year 3 of the analysis, these costs may have a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV of .
The following table shows custom results for .
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | Acquiring fee | CompositeScaled for | $145,882 $145,882 | $299,235 $299,235 | $607,353 $607,353 | |
| D2 | Gateway fee | CompositeScaled for | $261,882 $261,882 | $936,635 $936,635 | $2,292,352 $2,292,352 | |
| D3 | Intelligent Acceptance flat fee per transaction | Interviews | $0.0150 $0.0150 | $0.0150 $0.0150 | $0.0150 $0.0150 | |
| D4 | Intelligent acceptance fees | B1*B2*B3*(A3+A4)*D3 | $244,235 $244,235 | $980,329 $980,329 | $2,459,293 $2,459,293 | |
| Dt | Checkout.com fees | D1+D2+D4 | $0 $0 | $651,999 $651,999 | $2,216,199 $2,216,199 | $5,358,998 $5,358,998 |
| Risk adjustment | ↑5% | |||||
| Dtr | Checkout.com fees (risk-adjusted) | $0 $0 | $684,599 $684,599 | $2,327,009 $2,327,009 | $5,626,948 $5,626,948 | |
| Three-year total: $8,638,556 $8,638,556 | Three-year present value: $6,773,120 $6,773,120 | |||||
Evidence and data. Interviewees said implementation required cross-functional collaboration among engineering, product, and finance stakeholders working with Checkout.com’s sales, implementation, and customer success teams. Some interviewees said the process was straightforward while others acknowledged it took longer than normal partly due to organizational culture.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. This cost may vary depending on the scope and complexity of the implementation. Many elements may drive complexity in a payments implementation. These include geographical scope, regulatory and compliance requirement exposure, breadth and uniqueness of functional requirements, organizational dependencies, and existing technology or payment ecosystem investments.
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this cost upward by 5%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $53,000.
For , these costs may have a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV of .
The following table shows custom results for .
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E1 | Time spent on initial implementation (hours) | Interviews | 200200 | |||
| E2 | FTEs involved in initial implementation | Interviews | 33 | |||
| E3 | Time spent on follow-up implementation (hours) | Assumption | 4040 | 8080 | ||
| E4 | FTEs involved in follow-up implementation | Assumption | 11 | 11 | ||
| E5 | Time spent on ongoing management (hours) | Interviews | 2626 | 2626 | 2626 | |
| E6 | FTEs involved in ongoing management | Interviews | 22 | 22 | 22 | |
| E7 | Average fully burdened hourly salary for a payments engineering FTE | TEI standard | $60.36 $60.36 | $60.36 $60.36 | $60.36 $60.36 | $60.36 $60.36 |
| Et | Implementation and ongoing maintenance | (E1*E2+E3*E4+E5 *E6)*E7 | $36,216 $36,216 | $5,553 $5,553 | $7,968 $7,968 | $3,139 $3,139 |
| Risk adjustment | ↑5% | |||||
| Etr | Implementation and ongoing maintenance (risk-adjusted) | $38,027 $38,027 | $5,831 $5,831 | $8,366 $8,366 | $3,296 $3,296 | |
| Three-year total: $55,519 $55,519 | Three-year present value: $52,718 $52,718 | |||||
The financial results calculated in the Benefits and Costs sections can be used to determine the ROI, NPV, and payback period for the composite organization’s investment. Forrester assumes a yearly discount rate of 10% for this analysis.
These risk-adjusted ROI, NPV, and payback period values are determined by applying risk-adjustment factors to the unadjusted results in each Benefit and Cost section.
The following table shows custom results for .
| Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Total | Present Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total costs | ($38,027)($38,027) | ($690,430)($690,430) | ($2,335,375)($2,335,375) | ($5,630,243)($5,630,243) | ($8,694,075)($8,694,075) | ($6,825,838)($6,825,838) |
| Total benefits | $0 $0 | $1,384,384 $1,384,384 | $6,173,595 $6,173,595 | $17,125,185 $17,125,185 | $24,683,164 $24,683,164 | $19,227,081 $19,227,081 |
| Net benefits | ($38,027)($38,027) | $693,954 $693,954 | $3,838,220 $3,838,220 | $11,494,941 $11,494,941 | $15,989,089 $15,989,089 | $12,401,243 $12,401,243 |
| ROI | 182%182% | |||||
| Payback | <6 months<6 months | |||||
Total Economic Impact is a methodology developed by Forrester Research that enhances a company’s technology decision-making processes and assists vendors in communicating the value proposition of their products and services to clients. The TEI methodology helps companies demonstrate, justify, and realize the tangible value of IT initiatives to both senior management and other key business stakeholders.
Benefits represent the value delivered to the business by the product. The TEI methodology places equal weight on the measure of benefits and the measure of costs, allowing for a full examination of the effect of the technology on the entire organization.
Costs consider all expenses necessary to deliver the proposed value, or benefits, of the product. The cost category within TEI captures incremental costs over the existing environment for ongoing costs associated with the solution.
Flexibility represents the strategic value that can be obtained for some future additional investment building on top of the initial investment already made. Having the ability to capture that benefit has a PV that can be estimated.
Risks measure the uncertainty of benefit and cost estimates given: 1) the likelihood that estimates will meet original projections and 2) the likelihood that estimates will be tracked over time. TEI risk factors are based on “triangular distribution.”
The initial investment column contains costs incurred at “time 0” or at the beginning of Year 1 that are not discounted. All other cash flows are discounted using the discount rate at the end of the year. PV calculations are calculated for each total cost and benefit estimate. NPV calculations in the summary tables are the sum of the initial investment and the discounted cash flows in each year. Sums and present value calculations of the Total Benefits, Total Costs, and Cash Flow tables may not exactly add up, as some rounding may occur.
Related Forrester Research
Predictions 2024: Payments, Forrester Research, Inc., October 30, 2023.
The Merchant Payment Providers Landscape, Q4 2023, Forrester Research, Inc., December 8, 2023.
1 Source: Optimize Card Payments To Grow Your Business, Forrester Research, Inc., September 13, 2023.
2 Total Economic Impact is a methodology developed by Forrester Research that enhances a company’s technology decision-making processes and assists vendors in communicating the value proposition of their products and services to clients. The TEI methodology helps companies demonstrate, justify, and realize the tangible value of IT initiatives to both senior management and other key business stakeholders.
3 Incremental profit generated during increased uptime can be calculated as follows: Multiply the difference between current and prior system availability with the total annual revenue generated by the affected parts of the business (e.g., region, line of business) and then apply an operating margin (Forrester assumes an 11% operating margin). The benefit may vary depending on the effort needed to improve payment systems uptime, as well as any other initiatives that take place in the organization to improve overall system stability.
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