A Forrester Total Economic Impact™ Study Commissioned By Semperis, April 2024
The ever-evolving cybercriminal ecosystem continuously poses new and unique security threats to organizations of all shapes and sizes. Most (84%) organizations experienced an identity-related breach in the last year and, with the average total breach costing $3.5 million, organizations must combat this risk by investing in technology that safeguards hybrid enterprise identity systems with on-premises Active Directory (AD) and Entra ID in the cloud.1 Forrester found that organizations that use Semperis can both recover their AD in the event of a ransomware attack and remediate object- and group-level incidents in AD and Entra ID 90% faster. This translates to millions of dollars in savings and reduces the likelihood of a successful attack.
Semperis protects critical enterprise identity services for security teams charged with defending hybrid AD environments from cyberattacks, data breaches, and operational errors. By offering comprehensive protection for identity environments — including Active Directory, Entra ID, and Okta — Semperis provides a layered defense against identity-based incidents before, during, and after an attack, all supported by an expert, dedicated incident response team.
Semperis commissioned Forrester Consulting to conduct a Total Economic Impact™ (TEI) study and examine the potential benefits and financial impacts enterprises may realize by deploying Semperis.2
To better understand the benefits and risks associated with this investment, Forrester interviewed six representatives with experience using Semperis. The interviewees’ organizations range in size and geography and are from a variety of industry sectors, including healthcare, financial services, energy, and professional services. For the purposes of this study, Forrester aggregated the interviewees’ experiences and combined the results into a single composite organization that is in a highly regulated industry with sensitive data and has 50,000 employees and revenue of $10 billion per year.
Prior to investing in Semperis, interviewees noted their organizations used a mix of identity threat detection, response, and prevention tools, and used generic enterprise backup and/or traditional AD recovery solutions, such as a bare-metal recovery approach, to back up their data. This, in conjunction with the existing tools’ inefficient manual processes and subsequent business challenges, put interviewees’ organizations at a heightened risk of an AD- and Entra ID-related ransomware attack and AD- and Entra ID-related operational inefficiencies.
After the investment in Semperis, interviewees noted their organizations gained full visibility of their hybrid AD environments and were thus able to efficiently identify and address potential cyberthreats to proactively avoid an identity-based attack. By improving their overall security posture, the interviewees’ organizations reduced the likelihood of an identity-based attack and cut down credential abuse. Interviewees stated that in the event of an AD attack, their organizations achieved faster AD recovery with Semperis’ Active Directory Forest Recovery (ADFR) solution, reducing end-user downtime and reaping significant labor and revenue savings. The interviewees also noted their organizations also saw additional time savings on AD and Entra ID environment monitoring and object- and group-level remediation through the automation capabilities of Semperis’ Directory Services Protector (DSP) solution. Through these improvements, interviewees said their organizations saw added value through improved brand credibility and the ability to maintain a strong security posture as their businesses continued to grow.
Quantified benefits. Three-year, risk-adjusted present value (PV) quantified benefits for the composite organization include:
Unquantified benefits. Benefits that provide value for the composite organization but are not quantified for this study include:
The representative interviews and financial analysis found that a composite organization experiences benefits of $9.5 million over three years.
AD disaster recovery
Reduction in average likelihood of a successful AD-related ransomware attack
Object- and group-level recovery
Reduction in time spent monitoring the AD environment
Three-year benefits (PV)
From the information provided in the interviews, Forrester constructed a Total Economic Impact™ framework for those organizations considering an investment in Semperis.
The objective of the framework is to identify benefit, flexibility, and risk factors that affect the investment decision. Forrester took a multistep approach to evaluate the impact that Semperis can have on an organization.
Interviewed Semperis stakeholders and Forrester analysts to gather data relative to Semperis.
Interviewed six representatives at five organizations using Semperis to obtain data about benefits and risks.
Designed a composite organization based on characteristics of the interviewees’ organizations.
Constructed a financial model representative of the interviews using the TEI methodology and risk-adjusted the financial model based on issues and concerns of the interviewees.
Employed fundamental elements of TEI in modeling the investment impact: benefits, flexibility, and risks. Given the increasing sophistication of financial analyses related to IT investments, Forrester’s TEI methodology provides a complete picture of the total economic impact of purchase decisions. Please see Appendix A for additional information on the TEI methodology.
Readers should be aware of the following:
This study is commissioned by Semperis and delivered by Forrester Consulting. It is not meant to be used as a competitive analysis.
Forrester makes no assumptions as to the potential benefits that other organizations will receive. Forrester strongly advises that readers use their own estimates within the framework provided in the study to determine the appropriateness of an investment in Semperis.
Semperis reviewed and provided feedback to Forrester, but Forrester maintains editorial control over the study and its findings and does not accept changes to the study that contradict Forrester’s findings or obscure the meaning of the study.
Semperis provided the customer names for the interviews, but Semperis did not participate in the interviews. Only Semperis customers participated in closed-door interviews.
Consulting Team:
Sanitra Desai
Zahra Azzaoui
Drivers leading to the Semperis investment
| Role | Industry | Region | Revenue | Employees |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical architect, AD | Professional services | Global | $60B+ | 500,000+ |
|
• CISO • Network systems analyst |
Healthcare | North America | $20B+ | 100,000+ |
| Manager, identity management and engineering | Healthcare | North America | $5B+ | 25,000+ |
| Senior manager, server architecture | Energy | Global | $10B+ | 5,000+ |
| SVP | Financial services | North America | $5B+ | 10,000+ |
Before investing in Semperis, the interviewees’ organizations used disparate tools for identity threat detection, response, and prevention, but did not have a comprehensive hybrid AD protection platform inclusive of recovery from AD-related ransomware attacks. This setup created an array of inefficient manual processes and cascading business challenges related to significant end-user downtime and other business impacts, including damage to brand credibility. Interviewees noted that their organizations’ prior environments also consisted of a rudimentary bare-metal recovery backup approach that did not guarantee a fully ransomware-free data backup following an AD attack, leaving their organizations vulnerable to the risk of malware reinfection.
Interviewees explained that the disparate nature of their organizations’ before states yielded many blind spots and subsequent failures to identify and mitigate potential threats because they lacked a comprehensive view of their hybrid AD and Entra ID environments.
The interviewees noted how their organizations struggled with common challenges, including:
The interviewees’ organizations searched for a solution that could:
Based on the interviews, Forrester constructed a TEI framework, a composite company, and an ROI analysis that illustrates the areas financially affected. The composite organization is representative of the six interviewees, and it is used to present the aggregate financial analysis in the next section. The composite organization has the following characteristics:
Description of composite. The composite organization is a global organization headquartered in North America with 50,000 employees. It generates $10 billion in annual revenue. The organization operates in a highly regulated industry and has sensitive data. All segments of the composite’s businesses rely on Active Directory to function. The composite conducts identity access and authentication through an Active Directory environment that is globally distributed across three forests and 30 domain controllers and operates a hybrid identity environment.
Deployment characteristics. The composite organization adopts Semperis’ full suite of products, which includes Active Directory Forest Recovery (ADFR), Directory Services Protector (DSP), and the community tool, Purple Knight, across all 30 domain controllers in Year 1. The composite has six IT resources that spend a portion of their time monitoring the hybrid AD environment using Semperis.
| Ref. | Benefit | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Total | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atr | Improved business continuity due to faster hybrid AD attack recovery | $1,574,640 | $1,574,640 | $1,574,640 | $4,723,920 | $3,915,897 |
| Btr | Improved business continuity due to a reduction in the likelihood of a successful hybrid AD attack | $495,720 | $495,720 | $495,720 | $1,487,160 | $1,232,782 |
| Ctr | Object- and group-level remediation savings | $1,721,250 | $1,721,250 | $1,721,250 | $5,163,750 | $4,280,494 |
| Dtr | Hybrid AD environment monitoring efficiencies | $43,805 | $43,805 | $43,805 | $131,414 | $108,936 |
| Total benefits (risk-adjusted) | $3,835,415 | $3,835,415 | $3,835,415 | $11,506,244 | $9,538,109 | |
Evidence and data. Interviewees said that investing in Semperis’ ADFR solution enabled swift AD recovery, minimizing the financial impact of the attack by mitigating prolonged disruptions to business operations. Throughout the duration of the attack, a compromised AD meant that employees were locked out and therefore could not access their accounts and resources to continue their work. This cost of downtime was compounded by a reduction in revenue attributable to the inability to serve customers due to inaccessible systems and missed sales opportunities. With Semperis, all interviewees noted that the full AD-recovery timeline was reduced from several days to just a few hours. The automation capabilities of ADFR simplified the previously complicated, error-prone, multi-step process to a few clicks. In turn, the Semperis investment allowed interviewees’ organizations to bounce back quickly after a hybrid AD attack and reestablish operational stability, ultimately cutting revenue losses, reputational damage, potential litigation and fines, and labor losses.
Base: Six representatives with experience
using Semperis for Active Directory recovery at their
organizations.
Source: A
commissioned study conducted by Forrester Consulting on behalf of Semperis,
April 2024.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Base: Six representatives with experience
using Semperis for Active Directory recovery at their
organizations.
Source: A
commissioned study conducted by Forrester Consulting on behalf of Semperis,
April 2024.
Risks. Improved business continuity due to faster AD attack recovery may vary depending on the following:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 10%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $3.9 million.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1 | Employees | Composite | 50,000 | 50,000 | 50,000 | |
| A2 | Cost of one hour of downtime to the business | Composite | $2,700,000 | $2,700,000 | $2,700,000 | |
| A3 | Hybrid AD attack recovery time before Semperis (hours) | Interviews | 48 | 48 | 48 | |
| A4 | Business losses during AD recovery process | A2*A3 | $129,600,000 | $129,600,000 | $129,600,000 | |
| A5 | Reduction in AD recovery time with Semperis | Interviews | 90% | 90% | 90% | |
| A6 | Subtotal: Business value protected during hybrid AD attack with Semperis | A4*A5 | $116,640,000 | $116,640,000 | $116,640,000 | |
| A7 | Average likelihood of an AD-related ransomware attack after Semperis | B7 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
| At | Improved business continuity due to faster hybrid AD attack recovery | A6*A7 | $1,749,600 | $1,749,600 | $1,749,600 | |
| Risk adjustment | ↓10% | |||||
| Atr | Improved business continuity due to faster hybrid AD attack recovery (risk-adjusted) | $1,574,640 | $1,574,640 | $1,574,640 | ||
| Three-year total: $4,723,920 | Three-year present value: $3,915,897 | |||||
Evidence and data. Interviewees noted that in conjunction with ADFR, their organizations reduced the likelihood of a successful AD attack by using Semperis’ DSP tool to continuously monitor hybrid AD activities, including user authentication, access requests, and changes to AD and Entra ID configurations for unusual or suspicious activities. The ability to analyze log data, authentication attempts, and changes to AD and Entra ID configurations in real time with DSP helped the interviewees’ organizations identify potential threats before they escalated to full-blown attacks. DSP’s advanced features also enabled automated remediation to recognize threats and automatically roll back unauthorized changes, reducing the chances of a ransomware attack that compromises AD. Through this reduction, the interviewees’ organizations protected additional business value on top of what they retained with ADFR in Benefit A, further improving business continuity.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. Improved business continuity due to a reduction in the likelihood of a successful hybrid AD attack may vary depending on the following:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 15%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $1.2 million.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B1 | Cost of one hour of downtime to the business | A2 | $2,700,000 | $2,700,000 | $2,700,000 | |
| B2 | Hybrid AD attack recovery time before Semperis (hours) | Interviews | 48 | 48 | 48 | |
| B3 | Business losses during AD recovery process | B1*B2 | $129,600,000 | $129,600,000 | $129,600,000 | |
| B4 | Reduction in AD recovery time with Semperis | Interviews | 90% | 90% | 90% | |
| B5 | Subtotal: Business value protected during hybrid AD attack with Semperis | B3*B4 | $116,640,000 | $116,640,000 | $116,640,000 | |
| B6 | Average likelihood of an AD-related ransomware attack | Forrester research | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | |
| B7 | Average likelihood of an AD-related ransomware attack after Semperis | Interviews | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
| B8 | Reduction in the average likelihood of an AD-related ransomware attack with Semperis | 1-(B7/B6)*100% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | |
| B9 | Subtotal: Avoided likelihood of an AD-related ransomware attack with Semperis | B6-B7 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| Bt | Improved business continuity due to a reduction in the likelihood of a successful hybrid AD attack | B5*B9 | $583,200 | $583,200 | $583,200 | |
| Risk adjustment | ↓15% | |||||
| Btr | Improved business continuity due to a reduction in the likelihood of a successful hybrid AD attack (risk-adjusted) | $495,720 | $495,720 | $495,720 | ||
| Three-year total: $1,487,160 | Three-year present value: $1,232,782 | |||||
Evidence and data. Interviewees described the significant remediation effort and subsequent end-user downtime resulting from object- and group-level incidents before investing in DSP. Object- and group-level incidents at the interviewees’ organizations included several annual instances of the following events at the individual or collective level, respectively:
Interviewees stated that DSP detected and automatically reversed unwanted changes to objects and groups in the AD and Entra ID environments quickly and with minimal human intervention from IT teams. While these incidents were not malicious and often were a result of accidental modifications made by employees, they hindered end-user productivity because the affected employees were unable to log in to their computers or access network resources tied to AD or Entra ID credentials, including files, folders, and applications needed to continue working. The resulting productivity losses spanned the duration of IT teams’ remediation efforts, which involved identifying, mitigating, and recovering from the incident to restore normal configurations.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. Object- and group-level remediation savings may vary depending on the following:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 15%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $4.3 million.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C1 | Employees affected per major object- or group-level incident | A1*1% | 500 | 500 | 500 | |
| C2 | Downtime for objects to be restored before Semperis (hours) | Interviews | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
| C3 | Reduction in downtime due to remediation of objects after Semperis | Interviews | 90% | 90% | 90% | |
| C4 | Downtime due to remediation of objects after Semperis (hours) | C2(1-C3) | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| C5 | Average hourly salary per affected employee (rounded) | TEI standard | $36 | $36 | $36 | |
| C6 | Cost of downtime per incident before Semperis | C1*C2*C5 | $90,000 | $90,000 | $90,000 | |
| C7 | Number of major object- or group-level incidents per year | Interviews | 25 | 25 | 25 | |
| C8 | Annual cost of downtime due to object- or group-level remediation before Semperis | C6*C7 | $2,250,000 | $2,250,000 | $2,250,000 | |
| Ct | Object- and group-level remediation savings | C3*C8 | $2,025,000 | $2,025,000 | $2,025,000 | |
| Risk adjustment | ↓15% | |||||
| Ctr | Object- and group-level remediation savings (risk-adjusted) | $1,721,250 | $1,721,250 | $1,721,250 | ||
| Three-year total: $5,163,750 | Three-year present value: $4,280,494 | |||||
Evidence and data. Interviewees reported significant IT team time savings on monitoring AD and Entra ID environments with Semperis’ DSP tool. With real-time alerting, IT teams were immediately notified of any suspicious or unauthorized changes in hybrid AD environments to promptly address the potential incident rather than conducting manual investigation to locate possible threats. The interviewees noted their organizations realized additional efficiencies from DSP’s automation capabilities, such as automated rollback of malicious changes, which detected potential issues and took predefined corrective actions without intervention from IT team members. DSP’s continuous monitoring helped the interviewees’ organizations identify and address identity security indicators to close gaps and prevent AD- and Entra ID-related attacks.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. Hybrid AD environment monitoring efficiencies may vary depending on the following:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 10%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $109,000.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | IT FTEs involved in continuous monitoring of hybrid AD environment | Interviews | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| D2 | Percentage of time spent monitoring hybrid AD environment before Semperis | Interviews | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| D3 | Percent reduction in time spent on monitoring the hybrid AD environment with Semperis | Interviews | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| D4 | Average fully burdened annual salary of an IT FTE | TEI standard | $108,160 | $108,160 | $108,160 |
| D5 | Productivity recapture | TEI standard | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Dt | Hybrid AD environment monitoring efficiencies | D1*D2*D3*D4*D5 | $48,672 | $48,672 | $48,672 |
| Risk adjustment | ↓10% | ||||
| Dtr | Hybrid AD environment monitoring efficiencies (risk-adjusted) | $43,805 | $43,805 | $43,805 | |
| Three-year total: $131,414 | Three-year present value: $108,936 | ||||
Interviewees mentioned the following additional benefits that their organizations experienced but were not able to quantify:
The technical architect of AD said: “The danger of having an AD attack is not just about a loss in revenue. We are chiefly concerned with how it impacts our reputation as an organization.”
The value of flexibility is unique to each customer. There are multiple scenarios in which a customer might implement Semperis and later realize additional uses and business opportunities, including:
Flexibility would also be quantified when evaluated as part of a specific project (described in more detail in Appendix A).
Total Economic Impact is a methodology developed by Forrester Research that enhances a company’s technology decision-making processes and assists vendors in communicating the value proposition of their products and services to clients. The TEI methodology helps companies demonstrate, justify, and realize the tangible value of IT initiatives to both senior management and other key business stakeholders.
Benefits represent the value delivered to the business by the product. The TEI methodology places equal weight on the measure of benefits and the measure of costs, allowing for a full examination of the effect of the technology on the entire organization.
Costs consider all expenses necessary to deliver the proposed value, or benefits, of the product. The cost category within TEI captures incremental costs over the existing environment for ongoing costs associated with the solution.
Flexibility represents the strategic value that can be obtained for some future additional investment building on top of the initial investment already made. Having the ability to capture that benefit has a PV that can be estimated.
Risks measure the uncertainty of benefit and cost estimates given: 1) the likelihood that estimates will meet original projections and 2) the likelihood that estimates will be tracked over time. TEI risk factors are based on “triangular distribution.”
The initial investment column contains costs incurred at “time 0” or at the beginning of Year 1 that are not discounted. All other cash flows are discounted using the discount rate at the end of the year. PV calculations are calculated for each total cost and benefit estimate. NPV calculations in the summary tables are the sum of the initial investment and the discounted cash flows in each year. Sums and present value calculations of the Total Benefits, Total Costs, and Cash Flow tables may not exactly add up, as some rounding may occur.
1 Source: “2022 Trends in Security Digital Identities,” Identity Defined Security Alliance (IDSA), 2022; Forrester’s Security Survey, 2023.
2 Total Economic Impact is a methodology developed by Forrester Research that enhances a company’s technology decision-making processes and assists vendors in communicating the value proposition of their products and services to clients. The TEI methodology helps companies demonstrate, justify, and realize the tangible value of IT initiatives to both senior management and other key business stakeholders.
Cookie Preferences
Accept Cookies
A cookie is a small text file that a website saves on your computer or mobile
device when you visit the site. It enables the website to remember your actions (data inputs, website
navigation), so you don’t have to re-enter data when you come back to the site or browse from one page to
another.
Behavioral information collected by our web analytics vendor is used to analyze
data pertaining to visitor trends, plan website enhancements, and measure overall website effectiveness. We
may also use cookies or web beacons to help us offer you products, programs, or services that may be of
interest to you and to deliver relevant advertising. We may use third-party advertising companies to help
tailor website content to users or to serve ads on our behalf. These companies may also employ cookies and
web beacons to measure advertising effectiveness.
Please accept cookies and the collection of behavioral information to receive
full functionality and enhance your experience. If you decline cookies, some features of the website may not
function normally.
Please see our
Privacy Policy for more information.