A Forrester Total Economic Impact™ Study Commissioned By Microsoft, July 2024
The partner opportunity to deliver Microsoft Modern Work services and solutions to enterprise customers grew by 16% in fiscal year 2024 (FY 2024). One of the main drivers of this growth was the launch of the various Microsoft Copilot solutions, which created Copilot-specific opportunities and expanded the opportunity for other solution areas. Additional growth drivers included an increased interest in cost reduction through vendor consolidation and the ongoing shortage of IT workers. Partners that made the necessary investments in their internal capabilities and Microsoft relationships reported higher revenues and profitability.
Microsoft and its Modern Work partners were supercharged in FY 2024 by the launch of Copilot for Microsoft 365. Both Microsoft and partners have brought many new offerings to market, which is increasing the total addressable market (TAM) and increasing the average deal size. Continued economic uncertainty has increased customers’ interest in reducing IT costs, including vendor consolidation. Microsoft Teams continues to grow as the place where companies get their work done, with more than 320 million monthly active users.1 These factors, in conjunction with a shortage of IT workers, mean that companies are increasingly dependent on using IT professional and managed services.
In order to understand the impact of the above trends, Microsoft commissioned Forrester Consulting to conduct a Total Economic Impact™ (TEI) study and examine the potential business opportunity partners may realize by building and scaling Microsoft Modern Work practices for enterprise customers.2 Modern Work comprises many Microsoft products, and this translates into partner opportunities across eight solution areas:
This year’s study focuses on what has changed for Modern Work partners in FY 2024 and where things are likely heading in FY 2025. This includes: 1) what customers are looking for from Microsoft partners, 2) how partners are making money, and 3) the best practices and investments that create success. To better understand the revenue streams and investments associated with Microsoft Modern Work practices, Forrester interviewed representatives from 30 partners with practices in one or more of the aforementioned solution areas. These interviews build on more than 185 partner interviews, 170 customer interviews, and multiple partner surveys Forrester conducted during the past 10 years.
Forrester created a partner opportunity model for enterprise customers based on what leading partners achieved in FY 2024 and, to some extent, what they expect to achieve in FY 2025. This model quantifies the opportunities for deployment, advisory and adoption services, solutions development, and managed services over a three-year customer journey. Accounting for attach rates, Forrester found that the expected-revenue opportunity for a new enterprise customer is up by 16% year over year (YoY).4
Since FY 2021, the expected per-user per-month partner revenue opportunity has grown by 48%, with the most recent year being the largest in terms of absolute dollar value.
From the information provided in the interviews, Forrester constructed a Total Economic Impact™ framework for those partners considering building and growing one or more Microsoft Modern Work practice areas.
The objective of the framework is to identify the revenue streams, investments, and best practices that affect the investment decision. Forrester took a multistep approach to evaluate the holistic opportunity for partners building and growing their Microsoft Modern Work practice.
Interviewed Microsoft stakeholders and Forrester analysts to gather data relative to the Microsoft Modern Work partner opportunity.
Interviewed representatives at 30 partner organizations with one or more existing practices in Microsoft Modern Work solution areas to obtain data about revenues and investments.
Constructed a financial model representative of the interviews using the TEI methodology. The model normalizes all results as a per-user per-month opportunity during a 36-month customer journey.
Created a case study that explains the benefits and investments a partner can expect when building one or more security practices. The case study also explores the best practices that partners identified, which have made them successful.
Readers should be aware of the following:
This study is commissioned by Microsoft and delivered by Forrester Consulting. It is not meant to be used as a competitive analysis.
Forrester makes no assumptions as to the potential results that other organizations will receive. Forrester strongly advises that readers use their own estimates within the framework provided in the study to determine the appropriateness of an investment in a Microsoft Modern Work practice.
Microsoft reviewed and provided feedback to Forrester, but Forrester maintains editorial control over the study and its findings and does not accept changes to the study that contradict Forrester’s findings or obscure the meaning of the study.
Microsoft provided the partner names for the interviews but did not participate in the interviews.
Consulting Team:
Cassandra Halloran
Jonathan Lipsitz
This section incorporates some of Forrester analysts’ research and Forrester Analytics Global Business Technographics® survey data to understand what is driving customer demand in terms of the services they are looking for and from whom they want to buy these services. In terms of overall IT services growth, Forrester’s “Global IT Services Market Forecast” estimates a 4.6% compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) between now and 2028.5
More specific to the Modern Work services opportunity, Forrester’s “The State Of Digital Workplace Services, 2024” report found that 67% of services decision-makers will increase spending on digital workplace services. Their top reasons for using external service providers are to gain access to skills, accelerate transformation, scale operations, and reduce costs. The top five digital workplace services that these companies expect to buy from service providers are cloud-productivity suite deployment, AI and/or ML deployment, virtual desktop infrastructure (VDI) or desktop-as-a-service management, remote access modernization, and enterprise content management.6 Additionally, a survey of 5,751 business and technology professionals found that the most important IT objective is to improve IT capabilities to enhance employee and customer experiences.7
With regard to generative AI, Forrester reported in its “Prepare Your Entire Workforce For AI Now” report that the top concern of companies for using AI technologies was a lack of skills to develop AI solutions.8 To overcome this concern, companies will need to buy more services from external service providers.
Within the telecommunications space that can include calling and meeting rooms, a survey of 2,684 telecommunications decision-makers found that 74% of respondents are interested in using or increasing as-a-service managed network and telecom services. The top reasons are to simplify operations, create more flexibility for business and IT, and focus on core business requirements.9
Forrester’s research demonstrates that companies are buying the wide set of solutions that constitute Microsoft Modern Work, and they are increasingly buying services from Microsoft’s partners to achieve their business and IT objectives. These trends are expected to continue for the foreseeable future.
Partners shared their views on the high-level trends that are driving opportunities and what they believe will be even more important in FY 2025. These include:
The themes discussed above resulted in increased revenues across all solution areas in FY 2024, both in terms of total revenue potential (the portfolio of services and solutions a partner is offering) and the expected revenue associated with the likely bundles of services and solutions customers are buying (attach rates applied to the portfolio). The expected revenue opportunity grew by 16% for an enterprise customer on a three-year journey. Although Microsoft has a mature partner ecosystem, partners indicated that everything was in a state of accelerated change because of generative AI. The two solution areas with the largest generative-AI-related growth, outside of direct Copilot for Microsoft 365 opportunity, were SharePoint Premium and Teamwork and Collaboration.
Forrester also broke out the expected revenue opportunity across four service areas: deployment, advisory, solutions development, and managed services.
| Solution Area | Total Revenue Per User Per Month | Blended Attach Rate | Expected Revenue Per User Per Month | Expected YOY Growth | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Copilot for Microsoft 365 | $4.30 | 63% | $2.70 | N/A | |
| SharePoint Premium | $9.40 | 53% | $5.00 | 47% | |
| Employee Experience | $76.65 | 18% | $13.65 | 7% | |
| Teamwork and Collaboration | $94.10 | 38% | $35.95 | 10% | |
| Microsoft Teams Phone | $20.10 | 46% | $9.20 | 31% | |
| Microsoft Teams Rooms | $14.65 | 29% | $4.30 | 105% | |
| Cloud Endpoints | $60.10 | 40% | $24.00 | 8% | |
| Modern Work Security | $73.25 | 43% | $31.25 | 9% | |
| Total | $352.55 | 36% | $126.05 | 16% | |
| Partner Service | Total Revenue Per User Per Month | Blended Attach Rate | Expected Revenue Per User Per Month | Expected YOY Growth | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deployment | $48.15 | 49% | $23.60 | 21% | |
| Advisory | $48.80 | 33% | $14.90 | 32% | |
| Solutions development | $87.40 | 27% | $23.20 | 6% | |
| Managed services | $171.20 | 38% | $64.35 | 14% | |
| Total | $352.55 | 36% | $126.05 | 16% | |
All of the partner interviews took place within the first few months of Copilot for Microsoft 365 becoming generally available. This means that most initial deployments were close to the 300-user EAP minimum, with a few partners doing larger deployments. However, none of the deployments were close to the expected full rollout potential, which Forrester and interviewees estimate to be 40% of knowledge workers. Additionally, Copilot for Sales and Copilot for Service were very new to market, and Copilot for Finance was not available at the time partner interviews were conducted. (Interviewees with experience in the role-based Copilots believe there will be large services opportunities here because of the substantial need for business process transformation.) Therefore, the numbers included in the analysis are based on very early wins around initial deployments and becoming AI-ready. Given how fast the generative AI space and Microsoft’s products are evolving, both partners and Forrester expect the revenue opportunities to evolve and grow very quickly. Future opportunities will also include solutions development and managed services.
Partners are more excited about how generative AI and Microsoft’s Copilot solutions can drive growth than anything else partners discussed with Forrester since the launch of Microsoft 365. This excitement is for both the direct opportunities tied to Copilot for Microsoft 365, including the role-based Copilots that sit on top of it, and for the ways Copilot for Microsoft 365 increases revenue opportunities across the other solution areas. The core partner opportunity model includes the smaller, initial direct-Copilot opportunities, but Forrester also calculated Copilot’s to-date impact on revenue growth in other solution areas.
The numbers shown in the above chart reflect the very early success partners are having in making customers Copilot-ready and completing early-stage deployments. These Copilot-direct opportunities are growing, as previously discussed. Additionally, Copilot for Microsoft 365 is contributing to growth in the other Modern Work solutions areas. Across all the solution areas, Copilot for Microsoft 365 is responsible for $6.45 of the $17.00 in overall expected-revenue Modern Work opportunity growth.
SharePoint Premium is the next solution area discussed because so many of the features are AI-related and because of the value SharePoint Premium creates by making documents usable by Copilot for Microsoft 365. The SharePoint Premium opportunity grew by 19% in terms of the total revenue opportunity because of its expanded scope from the previous Microsoft Syntex iteration. Expected revenue grew by 47% and is attaching at higher rates because of greater overall interest in applying AI technologies and because of its connection to Copilot for Microsoft 365. Partners did note that the revenue opportunity for SharePoint Premium is less tied to a customer’s employee count than the number of document types, data size, and workflows included. Therefore, the per-user per-month calculations used throughout this study are less relevant than in other solution areas. Partners should take into consideration the number of document types and use cases at their customers when evaluating the revenue potential.
Employee Experience is the partner opportunity associated with the Microsoft Viva suite and individual apps, using both seeded and premium capabilities. Partners continue to express mixed opinions on the direct value of partner opportunities to their organizations in terms of revenue contribution, but people-centric consulting partners see Viva as a catalyst and enabler of large people-transformation initiatives. Perhaps more importantly, interviewees are excited about Viva’s potential to be the measurement and transformation platform for creating high-performing AI organizations. With regard to frontline workers, most opportunities are built on the seeded Viva Connections and Viva Engage capabilities. Overall expected revenue growth was 7% this year, but partners are optimistic that growth will be larger next year.
Teamwork and Collaboration continues to be central to Modern Work and where partners deliver their services. Often, this involves bringing in all of the other Modern Work solution areas as well as Power Platform. In large part, this is because the concept of accessing everything within the flow of work resonates stronger than ever. However, some partners felt that service opportunities in this solution area are starting to slow because of market maturity. That said, partners expect Teamwork and Collaboration growth to be reinvigorated because of Copilot for Microsoft 365. Partners also said that security services are becoming more important in support of hybrid working models. Partners also shared more examples of frontline worker opportunities than in past years, and they described increased interest in upgrading to the F3 SKU. Microsoft recently announced the decoupling of Teams from the Microsoft 365 SKUs. Partners do not believe that this will change their opportunities to attach services since Teams adoption is so embedded into how their customers work.
Forrester interviewed a mix of representatives from telcos and more generalized Modern Work partners that are delivering Microsoft Teams Phone services to customers. Regardless of partner type, every partner reported large growth and is excited about the future growth potential. For the partner-opportunity model, expected revenue was up 31%. Growth drivers include many traditional PBX systems reaching the end of life, more complex hybrid-working requirements, and the desire for cost reduction/vendor consolidation. Additionally, Copilot for Microsoft 365 brings online features such as transcription and call summary to PSTN voice calling. Partners described pricing as competitive with pure-play voice vendors and said that although some feature gaps still exist, they are not an impediment to winning deals. FY 2024 saw increased deployments of Teams Phone Mobile, although it is still early days, and partners are increasingly interested in using Operator Connect rather than Direct Routing because of easier account management.
The Microsoft Teams Room opportunity doubled in FY 2024 in terms of expected revenue. This was because partners brought many more services to market and because attach rates increased by 50%. The driver of growth in the first half of FY 2024 was the need to build out spaces that create better experiences for all participants, which is typically a mix of in-room and remote participants. More recently, growth was driven by customers beginning their AI journeys and the need to equip both people and meeting rooms. Partners are showing customers how to leverage Copilot for Microsoft 365 in physical meeting rooms in conjunction with Teams online meetings, and they expect this to increase adoption. Vendor consolidation sales motion is also in play here. Partners reported that Microsoft Teams Rooms projects very often lead to Microsoft Teams Phone opportunities if a customer is not already using that solution.
As a rule of thumb, Microsoft estimates that there is one meeting room per 25 knowledge workers. Therefore, the per-room revenue opportunity shown in the chart below is calculated by multiplying the per-user per-month opportunity by 25.
Device management using Intune continues to be the bedrock of the Cloud Endpoints solution area. Partners are excited about the additional opportunities Intune Suite will bring, although they generally felt that it only recently became mature enough to sell widely. One partner estimated that the expanded capabilities within Intune Suite will increase deployment and managed services pricing by 10%. Both Windows 365 and AVD opportunities are growing, in part because other vendors’ VDI deployments are approaching the end of life. Customers have an increased interest in Windows 365 for certain use cases, such as for frontline workers in healthcare and manufacturing. Windows 11 deployments are increasing, but only at the pace of natural refresh cycles. Partners said that there are not huge revenue opportunities here because the move from Windows 10 to Windows 11 is pretty straightforward.
Forrester conducted a separate security partner profitability study that looked at the opportunities for Microsoft 365 Security, Multicloud Security Compliance, Identity And Access Management (IdAM), and extended detection and response (XDR).10 Of these, a more generalist Modern Work partner moving more into security can expect revenue opportunities around Microsoft 365 Security, information protection-related Compliance, and IdAM. Typically, this expansion into more security and compliance builds upon existing device and identity security work completed as part of a Cloud Endpoints offering.
Modern Work partners are increasingly able to build practices and deliver services in some of these solution areas because the features included in the E5 SKU make it easier for partners to build the necessary competencies, be credible in front of customers, and actually help customers with their security and compliance needs. Furthermore, Modern Work partners feel the need to increase their data security and data governance skills and offerings to support generative AI readiness and adoption projects. Readers interested in the Modern Work Security partner opportunity are encouraged to read that study.
Each year, Forrester asks representatives of Microsoft partner organizations what new best practices and investments are fueling their success with go-to-market and delivery. This year, much of the conversation revolved around building AI competencies and creating differentiation from other Microsoft partners. Specific examples of where partners are investing and developing best practices include:
For partners, FY 2024 was one of large change and healthy growth. The biggest single factor affecting all solution areas was generative AI and Microsoft’s Copilot solutions. This has required partners to create new competencies and become more agile. In no small part, partners’ increased need for agility is to keep up with Microsoft’s heightened sense of urgency and its accelerated product rollout schedules. Continued customer concern about the economy has created cost-reduction/vendor consolidation deployment opportunities, and the ever-evolving state of hybrid working increased the need for advisory services. Partly because of hybrid work, Microsoft Teams Phone and Microsoft Teams Rooms were the solution areas that experienced the largest growth.
| Solution Area | Total Revenue Per User Per Month | Expected Revenue Per User Per Month | Expected YOY Growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Copilot For Microsoft 365 | $4.30 | $2.70 | N/A |
| SharePoint Premium | $9.40 | $5.00 | 47% |
| Employee Experience | $76.65 | $13.65 | 7% |
| Teamwork and Collaboration | $94.10 | $35.95 | 10% |
| Microsoft Teams Phone | $20.10 | $9.20 | 31% |
| Microsoft Teams Rooms | $14.65 | $4.30 | 105% |
| Cloud Endpoints | $60.10 | $24.00 | 8% |
| Modern Work Security | $73.25 | $31.25 | 9% |
| Total | $352.55 | $126.05 | 16% |
Partners are very excited about their FY 2025 opportunities and believe that Copilot for Microsoft 365 will be the rising tide that lifts all ships. Partners also expect the managed services opportunity to grow because customers continue to struggle with hiring enough internal resources. In FY 2024, partners made many new investments and began to develop new best practices that contributed to their success. To succeed in FY 2025, partners will need to double down on their investments and increase their sales and delivery agility.
1 Source: Microsoft Fiscal Year 2024 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call, October 24, 2023.
2 Total Economic Impact is a methodology developed by Forrester Research that enhances a company’s technology decision-making processes and assists vendors in communicating the value proposition of their products and services to clients. The TEI methodology helps companies demonstrate, justify, and realize the tangible value of IT initiatives to both senior management and other key business stakeholders.
3 Source: “The Partner Opportunity For Microsoft Security”, a commissioned study conducted by Forrester Consulting on behalf of Microsoft, July 2024.
4 An attach rate is the likelihood of a given service/solution being including in what a customer purchases. Attach rates are applied to solution areas (e.g., Microsoft Teams Phone) and to partner services (e.g., deployment). In other words, Forrester applied the rate to the typical mix of solutions and services that customers buy. This rate will vary based on how the partner has entered into Microsoft Modern Work (e.g., a collaboration partner will attach a lot more to Teamwork and Collaboration than other kinds of organizations, and a telco will attach a lot more to Microsoft Teams Phone). Use the following calculation: Total opportunity × attach rate = expected opportunity.
5 Source: Global IT Services Market Forecast, 2023 to 2028, Forrester Research, Inc., May 1, 2024.
6 Source: The State Of Digital Workplace Services, 2024, Forrester Research, Inc., February 14, 2024.
7 Source: Priorities Survey, 2024, Forrester Research, Inc., March 25, 2024.
8 Source: Prepare Your Entire Workforce For AI Now, Forrester Research, Inc., March 27, 2024
9 Source: Networks And Telecom Survey, 2023, Forrester Research, Inc., August 28, 2023.
10 Source: “The Partner Opportunity For Microsoft Security”, a commissioned study conducted by Forrester Consulting on behalf of Microsoft, July 2024.
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