A Forrester Total Economic Impact™ Study Commissioned By Cloudflare, September 2024
Enterprises are seeing increased complexity with distributed employees, distributed applications, and myriad siloed networks and vendors. With this growing complexity comes a more dangerous threat landscape — highlighting the importance of investing in a purpose-built platform to reduce attack surfaces and improve performance across a wide array of enterprise assets.
Cloudflare is a connectivity cloud, a unified platform of cloud-native services designed to help enterprises regain control over complex IT environments. Powered by an intelligent, programmable global cloud network, Cloudflare offers improved security, performance, visibility, and reliability across customer-facing applications, corporate networks, software-as-a-service (SaaS) apps, clouds, and more.
Cloudflare commissioned Forrester Consulting to conduct a Total Economic Impact™ (TEI) study and examine the potential return on investment (ROI) enterprises may realize by deploying Cloudflare’s cloud-based services.1 The purpose of this study is to provide readers with a framework to evaluate the potential financial impact of Cloudflare on their organizations.
To better understand the benefits, costs, and risks associated with this investment, Forrester interviewed four representatives with experience using an array of Cloudflare services. For the purposes of this study, Forrester aggregated the interviewees’ experiences and combined the results into a single composite organization.
Interviewees said that prior to using Cloudflare, their organizations tried multiple legacy and point solutions to protect against cyberattacks and ensure high availability and performance of their applications and networks. However, myriad point solutions led to unnecessary complexity and failed to properly mitigate against downtime and performance issues..
After the investment in Cloudflare, the interviewees reduced complexity, improved internal operations, strengthened security, and reduced costs.
Quantified benefits. Three-year, risk-adjusted present value (PV) quantified benefits for the composite organization include:
Unquantified benefits. Benefits that provide value for the composite organization but are not quantified for this study include:
Costs. Three-year, risk-adjusted PV costs for the composite organization include:
The representative interviews and financial analysis found that a composite organization experiences benefits of $8.5 million over three years versus costs of $2.5 million, adding up to a net present value (NPV) of $6.0 million and an ROI of 238%.
Return on investment (ROI)
Benefits PV
Net present value (NPV)
Payback
From the information provided in the interviews, Forrester constructed a Total Economic Impact™ framework for those organizations considering an investment in Cloudflare.
The objective of the framework is to identify the cost, benefit, flexibility, and risk factors that affect the investment decision. Forrester took a multistep approach to evaluate the impact that Cloudflare can have on an organization.
Interviewed Cloudflare stakeholders and Forrester analysts to gather data relative to Cloudflare.
Interviewed four representatives at organizations using Cloudflare to obtain data about costs, benefits, and risks.
Designed a composite organization based on characteristics of the interviewees’ organizations.
Constructed a financial model representative of the interviews using the TEI methodology and risk-adjusted the financial model based on issues and concerns of the interviewees.
Employed four fundamental elements of TEI in modeling the investment impact: benefits, costs, flexibility, and risks. Given the increasing sophistication of ROI analyses related to IT investments, Forrester’s TEI methodology provides a complete picture of the total economic impact of purchase decisions. Please see Appendix A for additional information on the TEI methodology.
Readers should be aware of the following:
This study is commissioned by Cloudflare and delivered by Forrester Consulting. It is not meant to be used as a competitive analysis.
Forrester makes no assumptions as to the potential ROI that other organizations will receive. Forrester strongly advises that readers use their own estimates within the framework provided in the study to determine the appropriateness of an investment in Cloudflare.
Cloudflare reviewed and provided feedback to Forrester, but Forrester maintains editorial control over the study and its findings and does not accept changes to the study that contradict Forrester’s findings or obscure the meaning of the study.
Cloudflare provided the customer names for the interviews but did not participate in the interviews.
Consulting Team:
Sam Conway
| Role | Industry | Region | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head of cloud and virtualization services | IT | EMEA | N/A |
| Director of global governance, risk, and compliance | Manufacturing | US | $25 billion |
| Senior principal security engineer | E-commerce | APAC | $200 million |
| CISO | Airline | US | $2.5 billion |
Prior to investing in Cloudflare, the interviewees’ organizations relied on legacy CDNs, VPNs, and security point solutions. The interviewees’ organizations struggled with complexity, costly manual effort, and poor security results.
The interviewees noted how their organizations struggled with common challenges, including:
The interviewees’ organizations searched for a solution that could:
Based on the interviews, Forrester constructed a TEI framework, a composite company, and an ROI analysis that illustrates the areas financially affected. The composite organization is representative of the four interviewees’ organizations, and it is used to present the aggregate financial analysis in the next section. The composite organization has the following characteristics:
Description of composite. The composite organization has worldwide operations and revenue in the $1 billion to $2 billion range. A portion of the organization’s revenue is through direct e-commerce sales.
Deployment characteristics. The composite organization utilizes a variety of Cloudflare solutions with usage growing over time. It uses Cloudflare Bot Management, WAF, CDN, R2 caching, Load Balancing, Argo Smart Routing, Zero Trust Network Access, DDoS mitigation, and Cloud Email Security.
| Ref. | Benefit | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Total | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atr | Security efficiencies | $362,250 | $393,750 | $456,750 | $1,212,750 | $997,894 |
| Btr | IT operations efficiencies | $308,610 | $445,770 | $445,770 | $1,200,150 | $983,873 |
| Ctr | Reduced web application breach risk | $190,052 | $253,402 | $316,753 | $760,206 | $620,178 |
| Dtr | Employee productivity | $999,000 | $1,665,000 | $1,665,000 | $4,329,000 | $3,535,154 |
| Etr | Consolidation and eliminated legacy spend | $315,000 | $472,500 | $607,500 | $1,395,000 | $1,133,283 |
| Ftr | Reduced downtime | $344,219 | $408,260 | $408,260 | $1,160,740 | $957,064 |
| Gtr | Reduced bandwidth costs | $72,960 | $91,200 | $127,680 | $291,840 | $237,627 |
| Total benefits (risk-adjusted) | $2,592,091 | $3,729,882 | $4,027,712 | $10,349,685 | $8,465,073 | |
Evidence and data. Interviewees highlighted that Cloudflare was significantly easier for their security teams to use compared to a mixture of point solutions. Additionally, Cloudflare provided better visibility into, and protection from, bot and DDoS attacks. Interviewees highlighted that their teams spent less time each week responding to these attacks and benefited greatly from working in a single toolset with centralized visibility and better correlation.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. Organizations may experience results that differ from those presented in the financial model due to:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 10%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $998,000.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1 | Number of security analysts | Composite | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| A2 | Improvement in productivity | Interviews | 23% | 25% | 29% |
| A3 | Fully burdened annual salary for an security analyst | Composite | $175,000 | $175,000 | $175,000 |
| At | Security efficiencies | A1*A2*A3 | $402,500 | $437,500 | $507,500 |
| Risk adjustment | ↓10% | ||||
| Atr | Security efficiencies (risk-adjusted) | $362,250 | $393,750 | $456,750 | |
| Three-year total: $1,212,750 | Three-year present value: $997,894 | ||||
Evidence and data. Interviewees stated that the ease of using automations and the infrastructure-as-code provided by Cloudflare were a key criteria in vendor selection. Organizations were able to automate or outright eliminate previously manual efforts performed monthly, such as managing secure sockets layer/transport layer security (SSL/TLS) certificates, load balancing and caching, managing infrastructure for legacy solutions, onboarding and offboarding users, and dealing with access requests and VPN issues.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. Organizations may experience results that differ from those presented in the financial model due to:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 10%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $984,000.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B1 | Number of IT operations professionals | Composite | 30 | 30 | 30 |
| B2 | Improvement in productivity | Interviews | 9% | 13% | 13% |
| B3 | Fully burdened annual salary for a team member | Composite | $127,000 | $127,000 | $127,000 |
| Bt | IT operations efficiencies | B1*B2*B3 | $342,900 | $495,300 | $495,300 |
| Risk adjustment | ↓10% | ||||
| Btr | IT operations efficiencies (risk-adjusted) | $308,610 | $445,770 | $445,770 | |
| Three-year total: $1,200,150 | Three-year present value: $983,873 | ||||
Evidence and data. Interviewees reported that Cloudflare had opened their eyes to myriad threats, allowing their organizations to secure, protect, and reduce their overall threat surface. Cloudflare was an integral part of reducing organizational risk by securing previously exposed applications and domains.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. Organizations may experience results that differ from those presented in the financial model due to:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 10% yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $620,000.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C1 | Likelihood of experiencing one or more breaches per year | Forrester research | 84% | 84% | 84% |
| C2 | Mean cumulative cost of breaches | Forrester research | $3,099,000 | $3,099,000 | $3,099,000 |
| C3 | Percentage of breaches originating from external attacks and attacks on third parties | Forrester research | 67.6% | 67.6% | 67.6% |
| C4 | Percentage of external attacks addressable with Cloudflare | Composite | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| C5 | Annual risk exposure addressable with Cloudflare | C1*C2*C3*C4 | $1,407,789 | $1,407,789 | $1,407,789 |
| C6 | Reduced risk of breaches with Cloudflare | Interviews | 15% | 20% | 25% |
| Ct | Reduced web application breach risk | C5*C6 | $211,168 | $281,558 | $351,947 |
| Risk adjustment | ↓10% | ||||
| Ctr | Reduced web application breach risk (risk-adjusted) | $190,052 | $253,402 | $316,753 | |
| Three-year total: $760,206 | Three-year present value: $620,178 | ||||
Evidence and data. Interviewees noted that using Access (Cloudflare’s Zero Trust Network Access service) allowed their firms to secure previously exposed SaaS applications used by internal users and improve the access to applications that had required a VPN. Interviewees’ organizations were able to pair Cloudflare Access with their identity provider (IDP), ensuring that employees had fast and secure access through a single corporate login.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. Organizations may experience results that differ from those presented in the financial model due to:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 5%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $3.5 million.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | Number of users | Composite | 500 | 500 | 500 |
| D2 | Improvement in productivity with Cloudflare | Interviews | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| D3 | Fully burdened annual salary for an impacted employee | Composite | $148,000 | $148,000 | $148,000 |
| Dt | Employee productivity | D1*D2*D3 | $1,110,000 | $1,850,000 | $1,850,000 |
| Risk adjustment | ↓10% | ||||
| Dtr | Employee productivity (risk-adjusted) | $999,000 | $1,665,000 | $1,665,000 | |
| Three-year total: $4,329,000 | Three-year present value: $3,535,154 | ||||
Evidence and data. Interviewees noted that with Cloudflare their organizations were able to retire multiple legacy solutions, which saved money on licensing, hardware, and maintenance. Typically, interviewees’ organizations started with Cloudflare’s CDN, web application firewall (WAF), and/or DDoS protection services and expanded use over time as they identified new redundancies covered by Cloudflare’s capabilities. Interviewees noted that their firms had replaced legacy CDNs, VPNs, HTTP accelerators, email security, bot management, and Zero Trust solutions.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the composite organization displaces its legacy CDN, VPN, email security, and bot management solutions. This is done on an iterative basis as the organization identifies and executes on consolidation opportunities.
Risks. Organizations may experience results that differ from those presented in the financial model due to:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 10%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $1.1 million.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E1 | Legacy spend | Interviews | $350,000 | $525,000 | $675,000 |
| Et | Consolidation and eliminated legacy spend | E1 | $350,000 | $525,000 | $675,000 |
| Risk adjustment | ↓10% | ||||
| Etr | Consolidation and eliminated legacy spend (risk-adjusted) | $315,000 | $472,500 | $607,500 | |
| Three-year total: $1,395,000 | Three-year present value: $1,133,283 | ||||
Evidence and data. A critical outcome of Cloudflare improving the interviewees’ organizations’ security posture was a reduced likelihood in websites and critical applications being taken offline. Prior to investment in Cloudflare, the interviewees’ organizations had exposed vulnerabilities, insufficient DDoS mitigation, and poor bot management that resulted in unexpected outage or downtime. For interviewees’ organizations with revenue-generating public web applications, every hour of downtime or reduced performance meant lost sales, upset customers, or violated SLAs.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. Organizations may experience results that differ from those presented in the financial model due to:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 15%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $957,000.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F1 | Additional availability with Cloudflare (hours) | Interviews | 43 | 51 | 51 |
| F2 | Annual revenue impacted by outages | Composite | $750,000,000 | $750,000,000 | $750,000,000 |
| F3 | Average hourly cost of downtime | F2/8,760 | $85,616 | $85,616 | $85,616 |
| F4 | Margin | Composite | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Ft | Reduced downtime | F1*F3*F4 | $404,964 | $480,306 | $480,306 |
| Risk adjustment | ↓15% | ||||
| Ftr | Reduced downtime (risk-adjusted) | $344,219 | $408,260 | $408,260 | |
| Three-year total: $1,160,740 | Three-year present value: $957,064 | ||||
Evidence and data. Interviewees noted that Cloudflare enabled their organizations to save on bandwidth fees by caching content closer to users and reducing origin-server requests. Additionally, they reported that Cloudflare’s Bandwidth Alliance offered discount and zero-rated egress fees from a roster of major cloud service providers. Interviewees noted that these elements of the Cloudflare solution resulted in savings on consumption costs and helped their organizations avoid increasing commitment levels on fixed-bandwidth contracts.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. Organizations may experience results that differ from those presented in the financial model due to:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 5%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $238,000.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G1 | TB per month offloaded to Cloudflare | Composite | 80 | 100 | 140 |
| G2 | Egress savings per TB with Cloudflare | Composite | $80 | $80 | $80 |
| Gt | Reduced bandwidth costs | G1*G2*12 | $76,800 | $96,000 | $134,400 |
| Risk adjustment | ↓5% | ||||
| Gtr | Reduced bandwidth costs (risk-adjusted) | $72,960 | $91,200 | $127,680 | |
| Three-year total: $291,840 | Three-year present value: $237,627 | ||||
Interviewees mentioned the following additional benefits that their organizations experienced but were not able to quantify:
| Ref. | Cost | Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Total | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Htr | Licensing | $0 | $350,000 | $700,000 | $1,000,000 | $2,050,000 | $1,648,009 |
| Itr | Implementation | $259,875 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $259,875 | $259,875 |
| Jtr | Ongoing management | $0 | $238,875 | $238,875 | $238,875 | $716,625 | $594,047 |
| Total costs (risk-adjusted) | $259,875 | $588,875 | $938,875 | $1,238,875 | $3,026,500 | $2,501,931 | |
Evidence and data. Interviewees shared that Cloudflare charged them licensing and usage fees dependent on services and bandwidth. Contact Cloudflare for additional details.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the composite organization deploys a wide range of Cloudflare solutions with its deployment growing each year. Products deployed over a three-year period include Bot Management, WAF, CDN, R2 Caching, Load Balancing, Argo Smart Routing, Zero Trust Access, DDoS Mitigation, and Cloud Email Security.
Risks. Cloudflare fees vary depending on:
Results. Forrester did not adjust this cost for risk, yielding a three-year total PV (discounted at 10%) of $1.6 million.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 | Licensing fees | Composite | $0 | $350,000 | $700,000 | $1,000,000 |
| Ht | Licensing | H1 | $0 | $350,000 | $700,000 | $1,000,000 |
| Risk adjustment | 0% | |||||
| Htr | Licensing (risk-adjusted) | $0 | $350,000 | $700,000 | $1,000,000 | |
| Three-year total: $2,050,000 | Three-year present value: $1,648,009 | |||||
Evidence and data. Interviewees noted that their organizations dedicated some internal resources to the initial Cloudflare implementation when changing over from legacy solutions and, in some cases, engaged professional services. Implementation times took anywhere from three to 12 months and were dependent on the complexity of their organizations’ legacy environments, makeup, and familiarity with mapping rules.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. Implementation costs will vary depending on:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this cost upward by 5% yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $260,000.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I1 | Months of implementation | Composite | 6 | |||
| I2 | FTEs involved | Composite | 10 | |||
| I3 | Percentage of time spent on project | Composite | 33% | |||
| I4 | Fully burdened annual salary for an FTE involved in implementation |
Composite | $150,000 | |||
| It | Implementation | I1*I2*I3* (I4/12) |
$247,500 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Risk adjustment | ↑5% | |||||
| Itr | Implementation (risk-adjusted) | $259,875 | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Three-year total: $259,875 | Three-year present value: $259,875 | |||||
Evidence and data. Interviewees stated that their organizations had dedicated limited internal resources to the ongoing usage and management of Cloudflare. Management resources were concerned with managing the Cloudflare relationship as well as strategic planning for the evolving use of Cloudflare within their organizations. Operations teams were tasked with monitoring Cloudflare and responding to issues.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. Ongoing management costs will vary based on:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this cost upward by 5%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $594,000.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J1 | Number of management resources used for ongoing management | Composite | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| J2 | Percentage of time dedicated to Cloudflare | Composite | 20% | 20% | 20% | |
| J3 | Fully burdened annual salary for a management resource | Composite | $200,000 | $200,000 | $200,000 | |
| J4 | Number of operations team members used for ongoing management | Composite | 3 | 3 | 3 | |
| J5 | Percentage of time dedicated to Cloudflare | Composite | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| J6 | Fully burdened annual salary for an operations team member | Composite | $125,000 | $125,000 | $125,000 | |
| Jt | Ongoing management | (J1*J2*J3)+ (J4*J5*J6) | $0 | $227,500 | $227,500 | $227,500 |
| Risk adjustment | ↑5% | |||||
| Jtr | Ongoing management (risk-adjusted) | $0 | $238,875 | $238,875 | $238,875 | |
| Three-year total: $716,625 | Three-year present value: $594,047 | |||||
The financial results calculated in the Benefits and Costs sections can be used to determine the ROI, NPV, and payback period for the composite organization’s investment. Forrester assumes a yearly discount rate of 10% for this analysis.
These risk-adjusted ROI, NPV, and payback period values are determined by applying risk-adjustment factors to the unadjusted results in each Benefit and Cost section.
| Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Total | Present Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total costs | ($259,875) | ($588,875) | ($938,875) | ($1,238,875) | ($3,026,500) | ($2,501,931) |
| Total benefits | $0 | $2,592,091 | $3,729,882 | $4,027,712 | $10,349,685 | $8,465,073 |
| Net benefits | ($259,875) | $2,003,216 | $2,791,007 | $2,788,837 | $7,323,185 | $5,963,142 |
| ROI | 238% | |||||
| Payback | <6 months | |||||
Total Economic Impact is a methodology developed by Forrester Research that enhances a company’s technology decision-making processes and assists vendors in communicating the value proposition of their products and services to clients. The TEI methodology helps companies demonstrate, justify, and realize the tangible value of IT initiatives to both senior management and other key business stakeholders.
Benefits represent the value delivered to the business by the product. The TEI methodology places equal weight on the measure of benefits and the measure of costs, allowing for a full examination of the effect of the technology on the entire organization.
Costs consider all expenses necessary to deliver the proposed value, or benefits, of the product. The cost category within TEI captures incremental costs over the existing environment for ongoing costs associated with the solution.
Flexibility represents the strategic value that can be obtained for some future additional investment building on top of the initial investment already made. Having the ability to capture that benefit has a PV that can be estimated.
Risks measure the uncertainty of benefit and cost estimates given: 1) the likelihood that estimates will meet original projections and 2) the likelihood that estimates will be tracked over time. TEI risk factors are based on “triangular distribution.”
The initial investment column contains costs incurred at “time 0” or at the beginning of Year 1 that are not discounted. All other cash flows are discounted using the discount rate at the end of the year. PV calculations are calculated for each total cost and benefit estimate. NPV calculations in the summary tables are the sum of the initial investment and the discounted cash flows in each year. Sums and present value calculations of the Total Benefits, Total Costs, and Cash Flow tables may not exactly add up, as some rounding may occur.
1 Total Economic Impact is a methodology developed by Forrester Research that enhances a company’s technology decision-making processes and assists vendors in communicating the value proposition of their products and services to clients. The TEI methodology helps companies demonstrate, justify, and realize the tangible value of IT initiatives to both senior management and other key business stakeholders.
2 Source: Forrester’s Security Survey, 2023; Base: 79 security decision-makers from organizations with a revenue of $1 billion to $2 billion with network, data center, app security, or security ops responsibilities and that have experienced a breach in the past 12 months.
3 Source: Forrester’s Security Survey, 2023; Base: 65 security decision-makers from organizations with a revenue of $1 billion to $2 billion with network, data center, app security, or security ops responsibilities and that have experienced a breach in the past 12 months.
4 Source: Forrester’s Security Survey, 2023; Base: 830 security decision-makers with network, data center, app security, or security ops responsibilities who have experienced a breach in the past 12 months at companies with $10 million or more in annual revenue.
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