A Forrester Total Economic Impact™ Study Commissioned By VMware, November 2024
To stay ahead and succeed in today’s fast-paced digital environment, organizations require IT infrastructure that can scale efficiently, ensure robust security, and simplify management. Advanced solutions with capabilities such as high availability, seamless integration, robust security, and automated operations are essential to meet these demands. By adopting this technology, businesses can enhance their agility, drive innovation, and position themselves for sustained growth and success.
VMware vSphere 8 is an enterprise workload engine that combines industry-leading cloud infrastructure technology with DPU- and GPU-based acceleration to boost workload performance. The solution optimizes the IT environment, increases availability, and provides improved lifecycle management and streamlined maintenance to enhance operational efficiency. It provides an infrastructure engine that is secure out of the box and has easy-to-implement hardening guidance for compliance. The vSphere 8 solution accelerates innovation for DevOps and platform teams with enterprise-ready infrastructure-as-a-service (IaaS) capabilities. These include easy self-service access to infrastructure and a built-in Kubernetes runtime to run containers alongside virtual machines (VMs) with one API and consistent operations. With vSphere 8, enterprises can easily build, run, manage, protect, and secure their traditional and next-gen applications.
VMware commissioned Forrester Consulting to conduct a Total Economic Impact™ (TEI) study and examine the potential return on investment (ROI) enterprises may realize by deploying vSphere 8.1 The purpose of this study is to provide readers with a framework to evaluate the potential financial impact of vSphere 8 on their organizations.
To better understand the benefits, costs, and risks associated with this investment, Forrester interviewed four representatives with experience using vSphere 8. For the purposes of this study, Forrester aggregated the interviewees’ experiences and combined the results into a single composite organization with revenue of $4 billion per year and 24,000 VMs.
Interviewees said that prior to using vSphere 8, their organizations relied on older versions of vSphere, such as vSphere 7. These versions provided a solid foundation for virtualization and supported many critical business functions.
Interviewees reported that after investing in vSphere 8, their organizations saw significant improvements in operational efficiency, security, and support for modern workloads like AI/ML. Key results from the investment include increased productivity due to enhanced capabilities and a reduction in administrative overhead. Additionally, the organizations saw a decrease in costs related to external consultants and improved employee satisfaction due to streamlined processes and better performance.
Quantified benefits. Three-year, risk-adjusted present value (PV) quantified benefits for the composite organization include:
Unquantified benefits. Benefits that provide value for the composite organization but are not quantified for this study include:
Costs. Three-year, risk-adjusted PV costs for the composite organization include:
The representative interviews and financial analysis found that a composite organization experiences benefits of $10.04 million over three years versus costs of $4.0 million, adding up to a net present value (NPV) of $6.05 million and an ROI of 151%.
Return on investment (ROI)
Benefits PV
Net present value (NPV)
Payback
From the information provided in the interviews, Forrester constructed a Total Economic Impact™ framework for those organizations considering an investment in vSphere 8.
The objective of the framework is to identify the cost, benefit, flexibility, and risk factors that affect the investment decision. Forrester took a multistep approach to evaluate the impact that vSphere 8 can have on an organization.
Interviewed VMware stakeholders and Forrester analysts to gather data relative to vSphere 8.
Interviewed four representatives at organizations using vSphere 8 to obtain data about costs, benefits, and risks.
Designed a composite organization based on characteristics of the interviewees’ organizations.
Constructed a financial model representative of the interviews using the TEI methodology and risk-adjusted the financial model based on issues and concerns of the interviewees.
Employed four fundamental elements of TEI in modeling the investment impact: benefits, costs, flexibility, and risks. Given the increasing sophistication of ROI analyses related to IT investments, Forrester’s TEI methodology provides a complete picture of the total economic impact of purchase decisions. Please see Appendix A for additional information on the TEI methodology.
Readers should be aware of the following:
This study is commissioned by VMware and delivered by Forrester Consulting. It is not meant to be used as a competitive analysis.
Forrester makes no assumptions as to the potential ROI that other organizations will receive. Forrester strongly advises that readers use their own estimates within the framework provided in the study to determine the appropriateness of an investment in vSphere 8.
VMware reviewed and provided feedback to Forrester, but Forrester maintains editorial control over the study and its findings and does not accept changes to the study that contradict Forrester’s findings or obscure the meaning of the study.
VMware provided the customer names for the interviews but did not participate in the interviews.
Consulting Team:
Roger Nauth
| Role | Industry | Revenue | Region | Employees |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infrastructure manager | Insurance | $5.9B | Global | 10,000+ |
| Director of technology infrastructure sector | IT services and consulting | $232M | Europe | 5,000+ |
| Technical architect | IT services and consulting | $11B | Global | 10,000+ |
| Chief information security officer | IT and business consulting | N/A | US | 2,500 |
Before implementing vSphere 8, interviewees’ organizations typically relied on older versions of vSphere, such as vSphere 7, which struggled to support modern workloads like AI/ML and had limited GPU support. These limitations led to inefficient resource utilization and administrative overhead.
The interviewees noted how their organizations struggled with common challenges, including:
The interviewees’ organizations searched for a solution that could:
After a request for proposal (RFP) and business case process evaluating multiple vendors, the interviewees’ organizations chose vSphere 8 and began deployment.
Based on the interviews, Forrester constructed a TEI framework, a composite company, and an ROI analysis that illustrates the areas financially affected. The composite organization is representative of the four interviewees, and it is used to present the aggregate financial analysis in the next section. The composite organization has the following characteristics:
Description of composite. The composite organization is a global, multibillion-dollar enterprise operating in highly regulated industries, including financial services, healthcare, and government sectors. It provides advanced AI/ML modeling, infrastructure support, and consulting services to a diverse client base, including credit unions, regional hospitals, outpatient clinics, and state and federal government agencies. With a workforce of approximately 10,000 employees, the organization has a strong presence in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and Australia. It manages around 24,000 VMs, with 18,000 VMs on-premises and the remainder in the cloud. The organization is known for its robust technical expertise, particularly in AI/ML workloads, and its commitment to maintaining high security and compliance standards.
Deployment characteristics. The composite organization begins using the solution in Year 1, following a three-month planning and testing period. The initial rollout covers 50% of the on-premises VMs and focuses on high-priority workloads such as AI/ML, SQL databases, and virtual desktop infrastructure (VDI). By the end of Year 2, the deployment scales to 100% of the on-premises VMs, including all geographies and channels. The implementation includes comprehensive training for IT staff, leveraging the new features of the solution. The organization also integrates the solution with its existing servers and GPUs to optimize performance and security. The deployment process is phased: It starts with nonproduction environments and gradually moves to production workloads to ensure minimal disruption and maximum efficiency.
| Ref. | Benefit | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Total | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atr | Decreased costs as a result of avoided labor effort and AI/ML workload and GPU access spend | $3,664,980 | $3,664,980 | $3,664,980 | $10,994,940 | $9,114,263 |
| Btr | Increased operational efficiency due to productivity improvements and reduction in administrative effort | $374,136 | $374,136 | $374,136 | $1,122,408 | $930,421 |
| Total benefits (risk-adjusted) | $4,039,116 | $4,039,116 | $4,039,116 | $12,117,348 | $10,044,684 | |
Evidence and data. Interviewees highlighted that vSphere 8’s enhanced GPU support and AI/ML workload optimization significantly reduced reliance on external cloud resources and manual configuration efforts. This led to substantial cost savings and improved operational efficiency across their organizations.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. The value of this benefit can vary across organizations due to the following:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 10%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $9.1 million.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1 | Number of FTEs required to manage previous vSphere deployments prior to vSphere 8 | Interviews | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| A2 | Percent FTEs reallocated to more value-added work | Interviews | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| A3 | Number of FTEs required after vSphere 8 | A1*(1-A2) | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| A4 | FTEs reallocated to more value-added work | A1-A3 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| A5 | Average fully burdened annual salary for an IT admin FTE | Research data | $203,580 | $203,580 | $203,580 |
| A6 | Subtotal: Total labor reduction | A4*A5 | $3,053,700 | $3,053,700 | $3,053,700 |
| A7 | Previous weekly spend on AI/ML workloads | Interviews | $1,000 | $1,000 | $1,000 |
| A8 | Percent reduction in weekly spend on AI/ML workloads | Interviews | 90% | 90% | 90% |
| A9 | Current weekly spend on AI/ML workloads | A7*(1-A8) | $100 | $100 | $100 |
| A10 | Weekly spend saved on AI/ML workloads | A7-A9 | $900 | $900 | $900 |
| A11 | Typical number of weekly AI/ML workloads | Interviews | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| A12 | Subtotal: Avoided annual spend on AI/ML workloads | A10*A11*52 | $936,000 | $936,000 | $936,000 |
| A13 | GPU access spend prior to vSphere 8 | Interviews | $550,000 | $550,000 | $550,000 |
| A14 | Percent savings on GPU access spend from vSphere 8 | Interviews | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| A15 | Subtotal: Direct cost savings on GPU access | A13*A14 | $82,500 | $82,500 | $82,500 |
| At | Decreased costs as a result of avoided labor effort and AI/ML workload and GPU access spend | A6+A12+A15 | $4,072,200 | $4,072,200 | $4,072,200 |
| Risk adjustment | ↓10% | ||||
| Atr | Decreased costs as a result of avoided labor effort and AI/ML workload and GPU access spend (risk-adjusted) | $3,664,980 | $3,664,980 | $3,664,980 | |
| Three-year total: $10,994,940 | Three-year present value: $9,114,263 | ||||
Evidence and data. Interviewees highlighted that vSphere 8’s productivity improvements and administrative effort reductions significantly enhanced operational efficiency.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. The value of this benefit can vary across organizations due to the following:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this benefit downward by 15%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $930,000.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B1 | Previous support time per incident (hours) | Interviews | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| B2 | Percent savings in support time | Interviews | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| B3 | Current support time per incident (hours) | B1*(1-B2) | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| B4 | Avoided support time per incident (hours) | B1-B3 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| B5 | Fully burdened hourly rate for a full-time engineer handling incident support | TEI standard | $68 | $68 | $68 |
| B6 | Average number of incidents requiring support time that can be reduced | Composite | 300 | 300 | 300 |
| B7 | Subtotal: Annual productivity improvement | B4*B5*B6 | $8,160 | $8,160 | $8,160 |
| B8 | Monthly reduction in administrative overhead effort (hours) | Interviews | 400 | 400 | 400 |
| B9 | Fully burdened hourly rate for an FTE handling administrative management | TEI standard | $90 | $90 | $90 |
| B10 | Subtotal: Annual reduction in administrative overhead effort | B8*B9*12 | $432,000 | $432,000 | $432,000 |
| Bt | Increased operational efficiency due to productivity improvements and reduction in administrative effort | B7+B10 | $440,160 | $440,160 | $440,160 |
| Risk adjustment | ↓15% | ||||
| Btr | Increased operational efficiency due to productivity improvements and reduction in administrative effort (risk-adjusted) | $374,136 | $374,136 | $374,136 | |
| Three-year total: $1,122,408 | Three-year present value: $930,421 | ||||
Interviewees mentioned the following additional benefits that their organizations experienced but were not able to quantify:
Flexibility benefits of solutions can enable organizations to unlock new business opportunities and pursue them better, faster, or cheaper. Each customer uniquely values flexibility, often realizing additional uses and business opportunities, such as reducing barriers, enhancing agility and scalability, and adopting complementary solutions or services. There are multiple scenarios in which a customer might implement vSphere 8 and later realize additional uses and business opportunities, including:
Flexibility would also be quantified when evaluated as part of a specific project (described in more detail in Appendix A).
| Ref. | Cost | Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Total | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ctr | Initial implementation costs | $200,000 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $200,000 | $200,000 |
| Dtr | Annual vSphere 8 subscription fees | $0 | $207,360 | $207,360 | $207,360 | $622,080 | $515,674 |
| Etr | Annual hardware costs | $0 | $915,000 | $915,000 | $915,000 | $2,745,000 | $2,275,470 |
| Ftr | Ongoing labor and management costs | $0 | $405,000 | $405,000 | $405,000 | $1,215,000 | $1,007,175 |
| Total costs (risk-adjusted) | $200,000 | $1,527,360 | $1,527,360 | $1,527,360 | $4,782,080 | $3,998,319 | |
Evidence and data. Interviewees generally described the implementation of vSphere 8 as straightforward and well-documented, with most of their organizations completing the upgrade within two to three months using internal resources. Costs were minimal with no significant expenses up front, and the process involved various teams, including IT, security, finance, and compliance, to ensure a smooth transition.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. The value of this cost can vary across organizations due to the following:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this cost upward by 0%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $200,000.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C1 | Initial implementation costs | Broadcom | $200,000 | ||||
| Ct | Initial implementation costs | C1 | $200,000 | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Risk adjustment | 0% | ||||||
| Ctr | Initial implementation costs (risk-adjusted) | $200,000 | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||
| Three-year total: $200,000 | Three-year present value: $200,000 | ||||||
Evidence and data. Annual subscription fees for vSphere 8 typically include costs for licensing and support services. Interviewees said these fees are generally consistent with previous versions, ensuring predictable budgeting for organizations.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. The value of this cost can vary across organizations due to the following:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this cost upward by 0%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $516,000.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D1 | Total number of servers | Composite | 30 | 30 | 30 | |
| D2 | Number of dual processor servers | D1*0.8 | 24 | 24 | 24 | |
| D3 | Number of quad processors servers | D1*0.2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | |
| D4 | Number of processors | (D2*2)+(D3*4) | 72 | 72 | 72 | |
| D5 | Number of cores per processor | Research data | 24 | 24 | 24 | |
| D6 | Total cores | D4*D5 | 1,728 | 1,728 | 1,728 | |
| D7 | Per-core per-year subscription price for an enterprise customer | Broadcom | $120 | $120 | $120 | |
| Dt | Annual vSphere 8 subscription fees | D7*D6 | $0 | $207,360 | $207,360 | $207,360 |
| Risk adjustment | 0% | |||||
| Dtr | Annual vSphere 8 subscription fees (risk-adjusted) | $0 | $207,360 | $207,360 | $207,360 | |
| Three-year total: $622,080 | Three-year present value: $515,674 | |||||
Evidence and data. Interviewees said annual hardware costs for vSphere 8 were influenced by the need for hardware refreshes to support the new version, which also led to improved efficiency and reduced expenses.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. The value of this cost can vary across organizations due to the following:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this cost upward by 0%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $2.3 million.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E1 | Cost per server | Research data | $5,000 | $5,000 | $5,000 | |
| E2 | Number of servers | D1 | 30 | 30 | 30 | |
| E3 | Subtotal: Annual cost of servers | E1*E2 | $150,000 | $150,000 | $150,000 | |
| E4 | Support cost (as percentage of total server cost) | Broadcom | 10% | 10% | 10% | |
| E5 | Subtotal: Annual support cost | E3*E4 | $15,000 | $15,000 | $15,000 | |
| E6 | TB per server | Research data | 10 | 10 | 10 | |
| E7 | TB of storage | E2*E6 | 300 | 300 | 300 | |
| E8 | Cost per TB | Broadcom | $2,500 | $2,500 | $2,500 | |
| E9 | Subtotal: Annual cost of storage | E7*E8 | $750,000 | $750,000 | $750,000 | |
| Et | Annual hardware costs | E3+E5+E9 | $0 | $915,000 | $915,000 | $915,000 |
| Risk adjustment | 0% | |||||
| Etr | Annual hardware costs (risk-adjusted) | $0 | $915,000 | $915,000 | $915,000 | |
| Three-year total: $2,745,000 | Three-year present value: $2,275,470 | |||||
Evidence and data. Interviewees told Forrester that their organizations incur ongoing labor and management costs for vSphere 8 that require FTEs to manage the deployment.
Modeling and assumptions. Based on the interviews, Forrester assumes the following about the composite organization:
Risks. The value of this cost can vary across organizations due to the following:
Results. To account for these risks, Forrester adjusted this cost upward by 0%, yielding a three-year, risk-adjusted total PV (discounted at 10%) of $1 million.
| Ref. | Metric | Source | Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F1 | Number of VI admin FTEs | Broadcom | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||
| F2 | Fully burdened annual salary for a VI admin | Research data | $202,500 | $202,500 | $202,500 | ||
| Ft | Ongoing labor and management costs | F1*F2 | $0 | $405,000 | $405,000 | $405,000 | |
| Risk adjustment | 0% | ||||||
| Ftr | Ongoing labor and management costs (risk-adjusted) | $0 | $405,000 | $405,000 | $405,000 | ||
| Three-year total: $1,215,000 | Three-year present value: $1,007,175 | ||||||
The financial results calculated in the Benefits and Costs sections can be used to determine the ROI, NPV, and payback period for the composite organization’s investment. Forrester assumes a yearly discount rate of 10% for this analysis.
These risk-adjusted ROI, NPV, and payback period values are determined by applying risk-adjustment factors to the unadjusted results in each Benefit and Cost section.
| Initial | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Total | Present Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total costs | ($200,000) | ($1,527,360) | ($1,527,360) | ($1,527,360) | ($4,782,080) | ($3,998,319) |
| Total benefits | $0 | $4,039,116 | $4,039,116 | $4,039,116 | $12,117,348 | $10,044,684 |
| Net benefits | ($200,000) | $2,511,756 | $2,511,756 | $2,511,756 | $7,335,268 | $6,046,365 |
| ROI | 151% | |||||
| Payback | <6 months | |||||
Total Economic Impact is a methodology developed by Forrester Research that enhances a company’s technology decision-making processes and assists vendors in communicating the value proposition of their products and services to clients. The TEI methodology helps companies demonstrate, justify, and realize the tangible value of IT initiatives to both senior management and other key business stakeholders.
Benefits represent the value delivered to the business by the product. The TEI methodology places equal weight on the measure of benefits and the measure of costs, allowing for a full examination of the effect of the technology on the entire organization.
Costs consider all expenses necessary to deliver the proposed value, or benefits, of the product. The cost category within TEI captures incremental costs over the existing environment for ongoing costs associated with the solution.
Flexibility represents the strategic value that can be obtained for some future additional investment building on top of the initial investment already made. Having the ability to capture that benefit has a PV that can be estimated.
Risks measure the uncertainty of benefit and cost estimates given: 1) the likelihood that estimates will meet original projections and 2) the likelihood that estimates will be tracked over time. TEI risk factors are based on “triangular distribution.”
The initial investment column contains costs incurred at “time 0” or at the beginning of Year 1 that are not discounted. All other cash flows are discounted using the discount rate at the end of the year. PV calculations are calculated for each total cost and benefit estimate. NPV calculations in the summary tables are the sum of the initial investment and the discounted cash flows in each year. Sums and present value calculations of the Total Benefits, Total Costs, and Cash Flow tables may not exactly add up, as some rounding may occur.
1 Total Economic Impact is a methodology developed by Forrester Research that enhances a company’s technology decision-making processes and assists vendors in communicating the value proposition of their products and services to clients. The TEI methodology helps companies demonstrate, justify, and realize the tangible value of IT initiatives to both senior management and other key business stakeholders.
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